Schedule Strength

Preseason projection vs. actual strength of schedule — 2026

138 teams · ranked by avg opponent Elo

#	Team	Conf	SOS	Opp W%	Proj	Win%	Conf	Elo
1	Texas	SEC	1597	55%	7-4	62%	5-3	1681	▸
2	Michigan	Big Ten	1593	57%	7-4	59%	4-4	1638	▸
3	Kentucky	SEC	1587	54%	5-7	43%	3-6	1526	▸
4	Oklahoma	SEC	1585	54%	6-5	57%	4-4	1639	▸
5	Mississippi St.	SEC	1584	56%	4-7	40%	3-5	1487	▸
6	Nebraska	Big Ten	1583	57%	5-6	43%	3-5	1527	▸
7	North Carolina	ACC	1581	58%	4-7	37%	3-4	1481	▸
8	Northwestern	Big Ten	1578	56%	5-6	47%	3-5	1534	▸
9	Ohio St.	Big Ten	1577	54%	8-3	69%	5-3	1725	▸
10	Missouri	SEC	1577	53%	6-5	55%	4-4	1595	▸
11	Arkansas	SEC	1576	54%	4-7	37%	3-5	1472	▸
12	Ole Miss	SEC	1575	52%	7-4	66%	5-3	1698	▸
13	Stanford	ACC	1573	57%	4-7	36%	3-5	1461	▸
14	Georgia	SEC	1573	53%	8-3	70%	5-3	1713	▸
15	Texas A&M	SEC	1572	52%	7-5	60%	5-4	1636	▸
16	Vanderbilt	SEC	1572	53%	7-5	56%	5-4	1604	▸
17	LSU	SEC	1571	53%	6-6	54%	4-5	1590	▸
18	Michigan St	Big Ten	1571	55%	5-7	40%	3-6	1481	▸
19	Tennessee	SEC	1569	53%	7-5	56%	5-4	1601	▸
20	Purdue	Big Ten	1569	55%	4-7	34%	2-6	1423	▸
21	Duke	ACC	1568	55%	6-5	53%	4-4	1596	▸
22	Washington	Big Ten	1566	54%	6-5	59%	4-4	1615	▸
23	Alabama	SEC	1564	51%	8-4	67%	6-3	1681	▸
24	Louisville	ACC	1563	53%	6-5	56%	5-3	1605	▸
25	Syracuse	ACC	1563	56%	4-7	39%	3-5	1485	▸
26	Indiana	Big Ten	1562	53%	8-3	70%	5-3	1708	▸
27	Arizona	Big 12	1562	55%	6-5	55%	4-4	1579	▸
28	Southern California	Big Ten	1561	55%	6-5	57%	4-4	1607	▸
29	South Carolina	SEC	1560	51%	5-6	50%	4-4	1541	▸
30	Florida St.	ACC	1560	54%	5-6	42%	3-4	1491	▸
31	Baylor	Big 12	1560	55%	5-7	46%	4-5	1520	▸
32	West Virginia	Big 12	1559	55%	5-7	46%	4-5	1508	▸
33	Cincinnati	Big 12	1558	54%	5-6	46%	3-5	1524	▸
34	Florida	SEC	1556	50%	5-6	48%	3-5	1535	▸
35	Iowa	Big Ten	1556	51%	6-5	58%	4-4	1619	▸
36	Georgia Tech	ACC	1556	51%	6-5	55%	4-3	1577	▸
37	UCLA	Big Ten	1553	53%	5-6	43%	4-5	1490	▸
38	TCU	Big 12	1553	53%	7-4	60%	4-4	1615	▸
39	Illinois	Big Ten	1553	50%	7-4	59%	4-4	1607	▸
40	Oregon	Big Ten	1552	50%	8-3	71%	5-3	1720	▸
41	Auburn	SEC	1552	50%	5-6	48%	3-5	1521	▸
42	Boston College	ACC	1551	53%	4-7	39%	3-4	1457	▸
43	Iowa State	Big 12	1546	52%	6-5	58%	4-4	1603	▸
44	Southern Miss	Sun Belt	1545	55%	5-6	41%	3-3	1471	▸
45	Kansas St	Big 12	1545	53%	6-5	55%	4-4	1568	▸
46	Utah State	Pac-12	1545	54%	5-6	44%	2-4	1481	▸
47	Utah	Big 12	1543	51%	7-4	63%	5-3	1626	▸
48	SMU	ACC	1542	52%	7-4	62%	5-3	1617	▸
49	Boise St	Pac-12	1542	54%	6-4	56%	4-2	1584	▸
50	BYU	Big 12	1541	51%	7-4	67%	5-3	1670	▸

Preseason projection: expected-value from preseason Elo (prior season regressed) over the scheduled slate. SOS is the average preseason Elo of opponents. Seeded from ratings as of Jan 25.