Schedule Strength

Preseason projection vs. actual strength of schedule — 2018

Preseason projectionActual results

130 teams · ranked by avg opponent Elo

#	Team	Conf	SOS	ΔSOS	Opp W%	Rec	vs Proj	Conf	Elo	ΔElo
1	Alabama	SEC	1551	+10	58%	14-1	+4.4	9-0	1720	+99	▸
2	Nebraska	Big Ten	1550	+11	61%	4-8	−1.2	3-6	1428	−48	▸
3	Pitt	ACC	1550	+10	63%	7-7	+0.6	6-3	1488	−9	▸
4	Fla. Atlantic	Conference USA	1547	+25	59%	5-7	−2.0	3-5	1559	−27	▸
5	Texas A&M	SEC	1546	+9	64%	9-4	+1.8	5-3	1592	+40	▸
6	Navy	American Athletic	1545	+27	60%	3-10	−3.1	2-6	1421	−81	▸
7	Louisville	ACC	1544	+28	65%	2-10	−4.5	0-8	1457	−78	▸
8	Florida St.	ACC	1544	+1	63%	5-7	−1.1	3-5	1566	+27	▸
9	LSU	SEC	1543	+3	58%	10-3	+3.0	5-3	1538	−18	▸
10	Duke	ACC	1542	+18	57%	8-5	+2.1	3-5	1550	+54	▸
11	Louisiana	Sun Belt	1542	+22	54%	7-7	+0.9	5-4	1484	+4	▸
12	Utah	Pac-12	1540	+4	59%	9-5	+2.6	6-4	1513	+7	▸
13	Auburn	SEC	1539	+3	57%	8-5	+0.6	3-5	1559	+0	▸
14	Purdue	Big Ten	1539	+12	57%	6-7	−0.2	5-4	1489	−14	▸
15	Georgia St	Sun Belt	1539	+25	61%	2-10	−3.9	1-7	1394	−112	▸
16	Clemson	ACC	1539	+13	62%	15-0	+5.6	9-0	1755	+137	▸
17	Missouri	SEC	1538	+5	55%	8-5	+1.6	4-4	1585	+64	▸
18	Boston College	ACC	1537	+12	54%	7-5	+0.7	4-4	1468	−64	▸
19	Charlotte	Conference USA	1537	+26	51%	5-7	+0.9	4-4	1363	−31	▸
20	New Mexico	Mountain West	1536	+10	54%	3-9	−1.8	1-7	1374	−77	▸
21	Georgia	SEC	1535	+14	61%	11-3	+1.8	7-2	1615	+4	▸
22	Wake Forest	ACC	1534	+13	58%	7-6	+0.4	3-5	1521	+9	▸
23	San José St	Mountain West	1534	+24	64%	1-11	−3.4	1-7	1372	−34	▸
24	Arkansas	SEC	1534	+2	55%	2-10	−3.3	0-8	1417	−62	▸
25	Oklahoma	Big 12	1533	+9	56%	12-2	+2.9	9-1	1705	+83	▸
26	Middle Tenn.	Conference USA	1530	+22	54%	8-6	+1.4	7-2	1524	+29	▸
27	Tennessee	SEC	1530	+18	61%	5-7	−0.8	2-6	1471	−3	▸
28	Kentucky	SEC	1529	+2	53%	10-3	+3.6	5-3	1525	+10	▸
29	South Alabama	Sun Belt	1529	+25	56%	3-9	−2.2	2-6	1417	−37	▸
30	East Carolina	American Athletic	1529	+4	56%	3-9	−1.6	1-7	1366	−65	▸
31	UCLA	Pac-12	1529	+1	64%	3-9	−2.8	3-6	1433	−72	▸
32	Oregon St.	Pac-12	1528	−2	58%	2-10	−2.1	1-8	1347	−61	▸
33	Notre Dame	Fbs Independent	1526	−2	56%	12-1	+4.4	—	1597	+8	▸
34	Mississippi St.	SEC	1526	+3	58%	8-5	+0.9	4-4	1522	−32	▸
35	Florida	SEC	1526	−7	56%	10-3	+4.4	5-3	1562	+85	▸
36	San Diego St	Mountain West	1525	+22	50%	7-6	−1.0	4-4	1478	−106	▸
37	Minnesota	Big Ten	1525	+8	54%	7-6	+1.0	3-6	1532	+52	▸
38	Kansas	Big 12	1523	−0	51%	3-9	−0.9	1-8	1331	−59	▸
39	TCU	Big 12	1522	+6	58%	7-6	−0.7	4-5	1607	+40	▸
40	Iowa State	Big 12	1522	+2	57%	8-5	+1.4	6-3	1520	+0	▸
41	Boise St	Mountain West	1521	+6	54%	10-3	+2.1	7-2	1641	+48	▸
42	GA Southern	Sun Belt	1521	+23	49%	10-3	+5.0	6-2	1521	+105	▸
43	Coastal Carolina	Sun Belt	1521	+17	55%	5-7	−0.1	2-6	1449	−12	▸
44	Vanderbilt	SEC	1520	+13	58%	6-7	−0.3	3-5	1506	+13	▸
45	Maryland	Big Ten	1520	+8	55%	5-7	−0.3	3-6	1330	−124	▸
46	Texas Tech	Big 12	1519	+9	56%	5-7	−0.9	3-6	1396	−96	▸
47	Ball State	MAC	1519	+0	48%	4-8	−0.0	3-5	1359	−33	▸
48	Texas	Big 12	1518	−6	54%	10-4	+3.3	7-3	1570	+55	▸
49	Wyoming	Mountain West	1518	+9	54%	6-6	−0.1	4-4	1545	+33	▸
50	Syracuse	ACC	1518	−4	51%	10-3	+4.8	6-2	1469	+26	▸

Actual end-of-season results. Δ columns compare against the preseason projection (final − preseason). SOS is the average end-of-season Elo of opponents played. Ratings as of Jan 13.