Schedule Strength

Preseason projection vs. actual strength of schedule — 2020

Preseason projectionActual results

128 teams · ranked by avg opponent Elo

#	Team	Conf	SOS	ΔSOS	Opp W%	Rec	vs Proj	Conf	Elo	ΔElo
1	Arkansas	SEC	1598	+32	61%	3-7	+0.1	3-7	1408	+6	▸
2	Alabama	SEC	1583	+21	58%	13-0	+5.2	11-0	1801	+174	▸
3	UMass	Fbs Independent	1580	+45	70%	0-4	−1.1	0-1	1383	−41	▸
4	Auburn	SEC	1569	+24	55%	6-5	+0.4	6-4	1564	+8	▸
5	Mississippi St.	SEC	1565	+28	56%	4-7	−1.4	3-7	1496	−25	▸
6	New Mexico St	Fbs Independent	1563	−14	51%	1-1	+0.1	—	1495	+11	▸
7	Ohio St.	Big Ten	1562	+35	60%	7-1	+1.7	6-0	1733	+67	▸
8	FIU	Conference USA	1562	+24	61%	0-5	−2.4	0-3	1422	−86	▸
9	Florida	SEC	1561	+13	52%	8-4	+1.4	8-3	1616	+29	▸
10	Tennessee	SEC	1560	+20	54%	3-7	−2.3	3-7	1490	−73	▸
11	South Carolina	SEC	1558	+3	52%	2-8	−2.2	2-8	1415	−76	▸
12	Michigan St	Big Ten	1557	+23	61%	2-5	−1.2	2-5	1460	−35	▸
13	Houston	American Athletic	1556	+21	58%	3-5	−0.4	3-3	1453	−6	▸
14	Kansas	Big 12	1554	+39	60%	0-9	−2.7	0-8	1274	−86	▸
15	Georgia	SEC	1552	+15	52%	8-2	+1.9	7-2	1696	+68	▸
16	Iowa State	Big 12	1547	+15	56%	9-3	+3.1	8-2	1616	+110	▸
17	Syracuse	ACC	1546	+25	57%	1-10	−4.1	1-8	1368	−119	▸
18	Kentucky	SEC	1543	+10	50%	5-6	−1.0	4-6	1547	−13	▸
19	Missouri	SEC	1543	−7	46%	5-5	+0.3	5-5	1522	+3	▸
20	Vanderbilt	SEC	1543	−2	49%	0-9	−3.6	0-9	1342	−123	▸
21	Virginia Tech	ACC	1542	+29	58%	5-6	−0.2	5-5	1491	+1	▸
22	Florida St.	ACC	1540	+28	57%	3-6	−1.7	2-5	1471	−50	▸
23	Texas St.	Sun Belt	1538	+28	59%	2-10	−2.1	2-6	1340	−52	▸
24	Navy	American Athletic	1537	+24	56%	3-7	−2.2	3-4	1461	−66	▸
25	Miami (FL)	ACC	1537	+13	54%	8-3	+2.7	7-2	1578	+79	▸
26	South Florida	American Athletic	1536	+9	53%	1-8	−2.2	0-7	1344	−79	▸
27	Ole Miss	SEC	1536	+2	48%	5-5	+1.2	4-5	1492	+45	▸
28	Clemson	ACC	1535	+7	53%	10-2	+1.3	8-0	1745	+50	▸
29	LSU	SEC	1535	+16	50%	5-5	−1.6	5-5	1616	−34	▸
30	Cincinnati	American Athletic	1534	+18	55%	9-1	+3.2	7-0	1661	+123	▸
31	Baylor	Big 12	1533	+25	56%	2-7	−2.4	2-7	1427	−83	▸
32	Utah State	Mountain West	1533	+5	55%	1-5	−2.0	1-5	1448	−63	▸
33	Georgia Tech	ACC	1533	−7	50%	3-7	−1.1	3-5	1431	−34	▸
34	Texas A&M	SEC	1532	−4	45%	9-1	+3.8	8-1	1689	+121	▸
35	Notre Dame	Fbs Independent	1532	−2	48%	10-2	+2.4	—	1703	+76	▸
36	Pitt	ACC	1531	+5	51%	6-5	+0.7	5-4	1531	+26	▸
37	Colorado St	Mountain West	1531	−12	51%	1-3	−0.3	1-3	1430	−19	▸
38	Oregon St.	Pac-12	1530	−6	51%	2-5	−0.6	2-5	1396	−16	▸
39	UNLV	Mountain West	1529	+24	59%	0-6	−2.9	0-6	1392	−98	▸
40	Boise St	Mountain West	1528	+19	51%	5-2	+0.6	5-1	1640	+19	▸
41	Northern Illinois	MAC	1526	+38	65%	0-6	−3.3	0-6	1408	−113	▸
42	Nebraska	Big Ten	1526	+2	52%	3-5	+0.1	3-5	1433	−2	▸
43	New Mexico	Mountain West	1525	+9	53%	2-5	−0.2	2-5	1386	−1	▸
44	Kansas St	Big 12	1524	+10	52%	4-6	−1.1	4-5	1473	−51	▸
45	San José St	Mountain West	1524	+14	53%	7-1	+3.7	7-0	1551	+141	▸
46	UL Monroe	Sun Belt	1524	+27	58%	0-10	−4.6	0-7	1325	−145	▸
47	UAB	Conference USA	1523	+26	57%	6-3	+1.2	4-1	1573	+43	▸
48	Oklahoma St.	Big 12	1522	+20	53%	8-3	+2.0	6-3	1602	+60	▸
49	Wake Forest	ACC	1522	−2	46%	4-5	+0.1	3-4	1472	−11	▸
50	Texas Tech	Big 12	1521	+12	51%	4-6	+0.0	3-6	1426	+7	▸

Actual end-of-season results. Δ columns compare against the preseason projection (final − preseason). SOS is the average end-of-season Elo of opponents played. Ratings as of May 16.