Schedule Strength

Preseason projection vs. actual strength of schedule — 2021

Preseason projectionActual results

130 teams · ranked by avg opponent Elo

#	Team	Conf	SOS	ΔSOS	Opp W%	Rec	vs Proj	Conf	Elo	ΔElo
1	Alabama	SEC	1625	+84	61%	13-2	+2.1	8-2	1923	+223	▸
2	Georgia Tech	ACC	1619	+76	64%	3-9	−1.8	2-6	1393	−61	▸
3	Auburn	SEC	1618	+95	62%	6-7	−1.1	3-5	1554	+11	▸
4	Nebraska	Big Ten	1618	+79	64%	3-9	−1.8	1-8	1394	−61	▸
5	Georgia	SEC	1615	+79	59%	14-1	+4.9	9-1	1903	+272	▸
6	Navy	American Athletic	1614	+76	66%	4-8	−1.1	3-5	1480	+6	▸
7	Indiana	Big Ten	1610	+101	66%	2-10	−4.4	0-9	1409	−126	▸
8	LSU	SEC	1599	+82	61%	6-7	−1.6	3-5	1595	+18	▸
9	Tulane	American Athletic	1596	+70	62%	2-10	−4.1	1-7	1399	−112	▸
10	Arkansas	SEC	1596	+42	53%	9-4	+4.0	4-4	1612	+173	▸
11	Oklahoma St.	Big 12	1594	+75	59%	12-2	+4.0	8-2	1769	+201	▸
12	Kansas	Big 12	1590	+68	61%	2-10	−1.4	1-8	1227	−122	▸
13	Texas	Big 12	1589	+80	60%	5-7	−2.1	3-6	1535	−33	▸
14	South Florida	American Athletic	1589	+60	62%	2-10	−2.3	1-7	1285	−111	▸
15	UNLV	Mountain West	1584	+66	65%	2-10	−2.5	2-6	1340	−88	▸
16	Mississippi St.	SEC	1581	+56	57%	7-6	+0.7	4-4	1561	+64	▸
17	Penn St.	Big Ten	1580	+74	61%	7-6	+0.0	4-5	1557	+30	▸
18	Louisville	ACC	1580	+71	62%	6-7	−0.2	4-4	1489	+11	▸
19	Iowa State	Big 12	1579	+59	57%	7-6	−0.6	5-4	1611	+34	▸
20	Ole Miss	SEC	1578	+53	54%	10-3	+3.6	6-2	1673	+178	▸
21	Boise St	Mountain West	1578	+69	64%	7-5	−0.3	5-3	1663	+70	▸
22	Missouri	SEC	1577	+63	58%	6-7	−0.6	3-5	1524	+9	▸
23	UL Monroe	Sun Belt	1576	+49	59%	4-8	+0.2	2-6	1332	−52	▸
24	Tennessee	SEC	1574	+70	58%	7-6	+0.4	4-4	1545	+52	▸
25	TCU	Big 12	1574	+61	59%	5-7	−1.5	3-6	1521	−15	▸
26	Miami (FL)	ACC	1569	+46	56%	7-5	−0.1	5-3	1612	+60	▸
27	Kansas St	Big 12	1568	+39	54%	8-5	+1.9	4-5	1571	+89	▸
28	Michigan	Big Ten	1567	+45	55%	12-2	+5.5	9-1	1710	+221	▸
29	South Carolina	SEC	1566	+35	52%	7-6	+1.7	3-5	1522	+79	▸
30	Florida St.	ACC	1565	+32	55%	5-7	−0.3	4-4	1502	+22	▸
31	Texas Tech	Big 12	1564	+54	56%	7-6	+1.6	3-6	1507	+57	▸
32	Florida	SEC	1564	+41	52%	6-7	−1.7	2-6	1572	−5	▸
33	Texas A&M	SEC	1563	+48	53%	8-4	+0.1	4-4	1714	+88	▸
34	Vanderbilt	SEC	1561	+45	54%	2-10	−2.6	0-8	1282	−113	▸
35	Baylor	Big 12	1561	+46	55%	12-2	+6.2	8-2	1699	+248	▸
36	Purdue	Big Ten	1560	+32	53%	9-4	+3.0	6-3	1597	+134	▸
37	UConn	Fbs Independent	1558	+53	58%	1-11	−1.3	0-2	1338	—	▸
38	Wisconsin	Big Ten	1557	+48	58%	9-4	+1.2	6-3	1679	+115	▸
39	App State	Sun Belt	1556	+47	56%	10-4	+1.0	7-2	1704	+91	▸
40	Utah	Pac-12	1556	+36	56%	10-4	+2.8	9-1	1678	+146	▸
41	Clemson	ACC	1553	+48	54%	10-3	+0.6	6-2	1808	+144	▸
42	GA Southern	Sun Belt	1553	+36	56%	3-9	−3.3	2-6	1440	−97	▸
43	West Virginia	Big 12	1553	+49	55%	6-7	−1.2	4-5	1533	+4	▸
44	Tulsa	American Athletic	1552	+31	53%	7-6	−0.0	5-3	1584	+57	▸
45	Arizona	Pac-12	1550	+32	56%	1-11	−3.0	1-8	1216	−163	▸
46	Notre Dame	Fbs Independent	1550	+30	52%	11-2	+2.3	—	1797	+162	▸
47	Virginia	ACC	1547	+35	55%	6-6	−0.1	4-4	1515	+8	▸
48	Maryland	Big Ten	1547	+40	55%	7-6	+2.0	3-6	1459	+47	▸
49	New Mexico St	Fbs Independent	1546	+32	56%	2-10	−3.6	1-0	1372	−125	▸
50	Oregon	Pac-12	1544	+35	54%	10-4	+2.4	7-3	1640	+97	▸

Actual end-of-season results. Δ columns compare against the preseason projection (final − preseason). SOS is the average end-of-season Elo of opponents played. Ratings as of Jan 16.