Schedule Strength

Preseason projection vs. actual strength of schedule — 2022

Preseason projectionActual results

131 teams · ranked by avg opponent Elo

#	Team	Conf	SOS	ΔSOS	Opp W%	Rec	vs Proj	Conf	Elo	ΔElo
1	Auburn	SEC	1687	+91	67%	5-7	−0.5	2-6	1574	+38	▸
2	LSU	SEC	1650	+71	60%	10-4	+3.1	6-3	1727	+164	▸
3	Arkansas	SEC	1638	+60	59%	7-6	+0.4	3-5	1643	+68	▸
4	Vanderbilt	SEC	1637	+56	60%	5-7	+2.1	2-6	1423	+68	▸
5	Florida	SEC	1634	+96	61%	5-7	−1.2	3-5	1540	−8	▸
6	Tennessee	SEC	1632	+64	59%	11-2	+5.0	6-2	1748	+218	▸
7	Georgia	SEC	1631	+102	62%	15-0	+2.8	9-0	2009	+240	▸
8	Ole Miss	SEC	1626	+80	57%	8-5	+0.0	4-4	1647	+31	▸
9	Texas	Big 12	1625	+69	59%	8-5	+1.9	6-3	1637	+114	▸
10	Mississippi St.	SEC	1625	+55	57%	9-4	+2.9	4-4	1687	+147	▸
11	Kansas St	Big 12	1624	+72	58%	10-4	+2.9	8-2	1715	+167	▸
12	Iowa State	Big 12	1620	+80	61%	4-8	−2.7	1-8	1515	−59	▸
13	TCU	Big 12	1619	+52	56%	13-2	+6.6	9-1	1769	+255	▸
14	Indiana	Big Ten	1616	+69	62%	4-8	−0.6	2-7	1418	−21	▸
15	South Carolina	SEC	1616	+39	54%	8-5	+2.3	4-4	1643	+129	▸
16	Texas A&M	SEC	1615	+39	53%	5-7	−2.4	2-6	1631	−12	▸
17	Georgia Tech	ACC	1612	+55	61%	5-7	+0.9	4-4	1461	+32	▸
18	Kentucky	SEC	1612	+75	59%	7-6	−1.2	3-5	1632	+19	▸
19	Alabama	SEC	1612	+80	57%	11-2	+0.7	6-2	1926	+144	▸
20	Colorado	Pac-12	1607	+91	66%	1-11	−4.0	1-8	1328	−127	▸
21	Missouri	SEC	1604	+77	58%	6-7	−0.5	3-5	1542	+26	▸
22	Kansas	Big 12	1604	+52	55%	6-7	+3.1	3-6	1384	+66	▸
23	Ohio St.	Big Ten	1603	+50	56%	11-2	+1.7	8-1	1864	+146	▸
24	Northwestern	Big Ten	1601	+63	60%	1-11	−4.0	1-8	1326	−140	▸
25	Stanford	Pac-12	1599	+54	61%	3-9	−1.5	1-8	1388	−60	▸
26	Navy	American Athletic	1598	+24	58%	4-8	−0.6	4-4	1478	−9	▸
27	North Carolina	ACC	1597	+30	56%	9-5	+2.7	6-3	1603	+83	▸
28	West Virginia	Big 12	1594	+48	55%	5-7	−0.6	3-6	1543	+21	▸
29	Louisville	ACC	1593	+22	56%	8-5	+2.8	4-4	1632	+139	▸
30	Texas Tech	Big 12	1593	+31	53%	8-5	+2.4	5-4	1640	+135	▸
31	Arizona	Pac-12	1588	+46	59%	5-7	+2.2	3-6	1361	+50	▸
32	Clemson	ACC	1586	+65	58%	11-3	+0.7	9-0	1799	+94	▸
33	Michigan St	Big Ten	1585	+66	60%	5-7	−2.5	3-6	1578	−33	▸
34	Florida St.	ACC	1583	+12	52%	10-3	+4.5	5-3	1689	+187	▸
35	Baylor	Big 12	1582	+51	54%	6-7	−1.9	4-5	1613	−20	▸
36	Iowa	Big Ten	1581	+24	53%	8-5	+0.5	5-4	1685	+73	▸
37	Syracuse	ACC	1581	+37	55%	7-6	+2.2	4-4	1491	+53	▸
38	Penn St.	Big Ten	1580	+35	54%	11-2	+4.5	7-2	1732	+194	▸
39	South Florida	American Athletic	1579	+42	56%	1-11	−2.4	0-8	1218	−139	▸
40	Oregon	Pac-12	1577	+46	55%	10-3	+2.5	7-2	1728	+135	▸
41	Oregon St.	Pac-12	1575	+43	56%	10-3	+4.2	6-3	1646	+167	▸
42	Notre Dame	Fbs Independent	1574	+48	55%	9-4	−0.3	1-0	1786	+88	▸
43	Oklahoma	Big 12	1574	+59	54%	6-7	−3.5	3-6	1631	−69	▸
44	UL Monroe	Sun Belt	1572	+30	54%	4-8	+0.4	3-5	1378	−10	▸
45	Maryland	Big Ten	1569	+27	53%	8-5	+2.6	4-5	1570	+97	▸
46	Wisconsin	Big Ten	1565	+31	53%	7-6	−1.0	4-5	1634	+15	▸
47	Marshall	Sun Belt	1564	+16	51%	9-4	+2.8	5-3	1658	+127	▸
48	Nebraska	Big Ten	1563	+25	52%	4-8	−0.5	3-6	1429	−1	▸
49	BYU	Fbs Independent	1563	+20	51%	8-5	−0.3	0-2	1697	+52	▸
50	Oklahoma St.	Big 12	1562	+25	49%	7-6	−2.1	4-5	1639	−41	▸

Actual end-of-season results. Δ columns compare against the preseason projection (final − preseason). SOS is the average end-of-season Elo of opponents played. Ratings as of Jan 15.