Schedule Strength

Preseason projection vs. actual strength of schedule — 2024

Preseason projectionActual results

134 teams · ranked by avg opponent Elo

#	Team	Conf	SOS	ΔSOS	Opp W%	Rec	vs Proj	Conf	Elo	ΔElo
1	Michigan	Big Ten	1722	+112	64%	8-5	−2.1	5-4	1912	+80	▸
2	Mississippi St.	SEC	1714	+114	66%	2-10	−3.7	0-8	1487	−81	▸
3	Alabama	SEC	1712	+87	62%	9-4	−0.5	5-3	1914	+95	▸
4	Oregon	Big Ten	1705	+74	58%	13-1	+4.1	10-1	1957	+243	▸
5	Texas	SEC	1704	+93	59%	13-3	+2.8	7-2	1913	+201	▸
6	Georgia	SEC	1703	+92	59%	11-3	−0.0	7-2	2018	+154	▸
7	Ohio St.	Big Ten	1699	+107	63%	14-2	+2.9	8-2	2004	+243	▸
8	Florida	SEC	1696	+46	56%	8-5	+3.1	4-4	1719	+189	▸
9	Oklahoma	SEC	1689	+87	61%	6-7	−1.4	2-6	1663	+17	▸
10	Kentucky	SEC	1683	+95	59%	4-8	−2.5	1-7	1564	−37	▸
11	UCLA	Big Ten	1682	+94	62%	5-7	−0.9	3-6	1613	+33	▸
12	Southern California	Big Ten	1682	+66	56%	7-6	+1.0	4-5	1681	+89	▸
13	Purdue	Big Ten	1679	+111	63%	1-11	−4.3	0-9	1401	−123	▸
14	Penn St.	Big Ten	1668	+71	56%	13-3	+3.2	8-2	1872	+193	▸
15	Notre Dame	Fbs Independent	1668	+86	59%	14-2	+3.4	—	1934	+229	▸
16	LSU	SEC	1667	+83	57%	9-4	+0.1	5-3	1816	+109	▸
17	Wisconsin	Big Ten	1666	+77	58%	5-7	−0.9	3-6	1574	+3	▸
18	Washington	Big Ten	1665	+76	59%	6-7	−3.2	4-5	1738	−9	▸
19	Vanderbilt	SEC	1663	+52	55%	7-6	+3.5	3-5	1544	+136	▸
20	Northwestern	Big Ten	1662	+61	55%	4-8	−1.2	2-7	1522	−8	▸
21	Texas A&M	SEC	1660	+80	57%	8-5	+0.9	5-3	1665	+71	▸
22	South Carolina	SEC	1658	+77	58%	9-4	+2.4	5-3	1751	+164	▸
23	Florida St.	ACC	1657	+88	62%	2-10	−6.5	1-7	1593	−135	▸
24	Maryland	Big Ten	1656	+102	63%	4-8	−2.5	1-8	1529	−46	▸
25	Oklahoma St.	Big 12	1653	+89	62%	3-9	−4.4	0-9	1541	−113	▸
26	Iowa	Big Ten	1653	+56	54%	8-5	+0.5	6-3	1723	+74	▸
27	Kansas	Big 12	1650	+119	66%	5-7	−1.6	4-5	1593	+25	▸
28	Virginia	ACC	1649	+60	58%	5-7	+1.1	3-5	1500	+51	▸
29	Michigan St	Big Ten	1646	+70	57%	5-7	−0.5	3-6	1532	+10	▸
30	Louisville	ACC	1642	+58	56%	9-4	+2.1	5-3	1749	+139	▸
31	UCF	Big 12	1640	+100	62%	4-8	−2.4	2-7	1498	−59	▸
32	Stanford	ACC	1637	+69	59%	3-9	−0.8	2-6	1385	−37	▸
33	Baylor	Big 12	1637	+50	57%	8-5	+3.1	6-4	1655	+155	▸
34	Georgia Tech	ACC	1637	+50	54%	7-6	+1.0	5-3	1623	+75	▸
35	Ole Miss	SEC	1636	+42	50%	10-3	+1.4	5-3	1851	+144	▸
36	Minnesota	Big Ten	1633	+58	54%	8-5	+1.6	5-4	1675	+113	▸
37	Tennessee	SEC	1632	+41	48%	10-3	+2.0	6-2	1830	+144	▸
38	Auburn	SEC	1631	+60	54%	5-7	−1.1	2-6	1573	+26	▸
39	Houston	Big 12	1628	+60	57%	4-8	−1.4	3-6	1515	−14	▸
40	Cincinnati	Big 12	1628	+76	60%	5-7	−0.7	3-6	1525	−8	▸
41	Clemson	ACC	1628	+48	52%	10-4	+1.0	8-1	1820	+120	▸
42	Arkansas	SEC	1627	+36	52%	7-6	+1.2	3-5	1634	+93	▸
43	West Virginia	Big 12	1623	+40	54%	6-7	−1.5	5-4	1637	+10	▸
44	Illinois	Big Ten	1619	+50	51%	10-3	+4.2	6-3	1708	+197	▸
45	Arizona St.	Big 12	1614	+20	50%	11-3	+6.6	8-2	1701	+261	▸
46	Boston College	ACC	1613	+52	56%	7-6	+1.1	4-4	1583	+79	▸
47	Virginia Tech	ACC	1612	+94	58%	6-7	−0.9	4-4	1548	+12	▸
48	Iowa State	Big 12	1610	+51	54%	11-3	+3.6	7-3	1735	+155	▸
49	Kansas St	Big 12	1609	+56	55%	9-4	+0.5	6-4	1746	+76	▸
50	Colorado	Big 12	1607	+37	53%	9-4	+5.3	7-3	1579	+183	▸

Actual end-of-season results. Δ columns compare against the preseason projection (final − preseason). SOS is the average end-of-season Elo of opponents played. Ratings as of Jan 26.