Schedule Strength

Preseason projection vs. actual strength of schedule — 2025

Preseason projectionActual results

136 teams · ranked by avg opponent Elo

#	Team	Conf	SOS	ΔSOS	Opp W%	Rec	vs Proj	Conf	Elo	ΔElo
1	Wisconsin	Big Ten	1666	+8	67%	4-8	−0.6	2-7	1524	−26	▸
2	Purdue	Big Ten	1645	+21	67%	2-10	−1.5	0-9	1385	−49	▸
3	Oklahoma	SEC	1640	−8	61%	10-3	+4.0	6-3	1708	+100	▸
4	Florida	SEC	1639	+15	64%	4-8	−2.3	2-6	1552	−94	▸
5	South Carolina	SEC	1638	+11	64%	4-8	−2.9	1-7	1562	−105	▸
6	Oregon	Big Ten	1635	+25	62%	13-2	+1.8	8-2	1829	+25	▸
7	Kentucky	SEC	1633	−3	62%	5-7	+0.2	2-6	1539	−4	▸
8	UCLA	Big Ten	1630	+35	66%	3-9	−2.7	3-6	1486	−89	▸
9	Arkansas	SEC	1629	−16	61%	2-10	−3.3	0-8	1457	−132	▸
10	LSU	SEC	1626	+20	63%	7-6	−1.3	3-5	1635	−76	▸
11	Miami (FL)	ACC	1618	+17	62%	13-3	+4.9	6-2	1749	+138	▸
12	Colorado	Big 12	1611	+20	63%	3-9	−2.5	1-8	1463	−90	▸
13	Penn St.	Big Ten	1610	+22	59%	7-6	−1.9	3-6	1665	−83	▸
14	Auburn	SEC	1610	−6	59%	5-7	−0.1	1-7	1532	−16	▸
15	Mississippi St.	SEC	1609	−15	58%	5-8	+0.4	1-7	1481	−10	▸
16	Georgia	SEC	1609	−17	56%	11-2	+0.8	7-2	1819	−26	▸
17	Rutgers	Big Ten	1606	−21	57%	5-7	+0.2	2-7	1520	−16	▸
18	Ohio St.	Big Ten	1606	−7	56%	12-1	+1.9	9-0	1837	+1	▸
19	Syracuse	ACC	1605	+2	59%	3-9	−3.2	1-7	1478	−139	▸
20	Southern California	Big Ten	1604	−9	57%	9-4	+2.2	7-2	1660	+40	▸
21	Alabama	SEC	1604	−2	57%	11-3	+1.2	8-1	1772	−4	▸
22	Indiana	Big Ten	1603	+8	56%	15-0	+6.9	10-0	1813	+210	▸
23	Virginia Tech	ACC	1601	+49	64%	3-9	−2.9	2-6	1450	−82	▸
24	Michigan St	Big Ten	1599	+5	57%	4-8	−1.0	1-8	1472	−49	▸
25	Ole Miss	SEC	1597	−14	53%	13-2	+2.8	8-1	1796	+62	▸
26	Stanford	ACC	1593	+14	59%	4-8	+0.3	3-5	1442	+19	▸
27	West Virginia	Big 12	1591	+24	61%	4-8	−2.4	2-7	1512	−79	▸
28	TCU	Big 12	1591	−5	57%	9-4	+1.7	5-4	1672	+36	▸
29	Illinois	Big Ten	1589	+21	57%	9-4	+1.2	5-4	1660	+22	▸
30	Arizona St.	Big 12	1589	+19	59%	8-5	+0.3	6-3	1625	−9	▸
31	Iowa State	Big 12	1588	−4	55%	8-4	+0.9	5-4	1654	−2	▸
32	Texas	SEC	1587	−27	52%	10-3	+0.8	6-2	1771	−5	▸
33	Duke	ACC	1586	+12	60%	8-5	+0.5	6-2	1644	+19	▸
34	Michigan	Big Ten	1585	+14	56%	9-4	−0.5	7-2	1706	−69	▸
35	Washington	Big Ten	1585	−32	51%	9-4	+1.7	5-4	1673	+14	▸
36	Oklahoma St.	Big 12	1583	+10	58%	1-11	−4.5	0-9	1380	−147	▸
37	NC State	ACC	1582	+16	58%	8-5	+1.4	5-4	1601	+38	▸
38	Texas A&M	SEC	1581	−39	48%	11-2	+4.4	7-1	1704	+94	▸
39	Iowa	Big Ten	1581	+5	53%	9-4	+1.3	6-3	1679	+31	▸
40	Tennessee	SEC	1575	−13	51%	8-5	−0.8	4-4	1652	−68	▸
41	Louisville	ACC	1575	−1	55%	9-4	+0.7	4-4	1658	−8	▸
42	Vanderbilt	SEC	1573	−32	49%	10-3	+4.4	6-2	1657	+128	▸
43	Charlotte	American Athletic	1571	+23	61%	1-11	−3.5	0-8	1344	−86	▸
44	Northwestern	Big Ten	1571	−8	53%	7-6	+1.3	4-5	1551	+36	▸
45	Kansas St	Big 12	1570	−2	54%	6-6	−1.7	5-5	1603	−61	▸
46	Georgia St	Sun Belt	1568	−5	56%	1-11	−3.2	0-8	1349	−110	▸
47	Notre Dame	Fbs Independent	1567	−2	51%	10-2	+0.6	—	1784	−6	▸
48	Clemson	ACC	1567	−50	49%	7-6	−1.4	4-4	1642	−72	▸
49	Georgia Tech	ACC	1567	−9	52%	9-4	+2.3	6-2	1615	+33	▸
50	Oregon St.	Pac-12	1566	+24	59%	2-10	−4.1	1-1	1405	−128	▸

Actual end-of-season results. Δ columns compare against the preseason projection (final − preseason). SOS is the average end-of-season Elo of opponents played. Ratings as of Jan 25.