Conference Standings
Bracketology·Conference Races·At-Large Odds·NCAA Bracket— auto-bid races, conference by conference.
Tournament Bracket
The bracket shows each seed line; teams appear as they mathematically clinch their seed, and results fill in as the tournament is played. Title odds are in the projections below.
🏟 Conference USA
Final
Conference USA Tournament Projections(11 teams · 10k simulations)
| Seed | Team | Elo | Final | 🏆 Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jacksonville St. | 1597 | 42% | 25% |
| 2 | Western KY | 1575 | 38% | 20% |
| 3 | Delaware | 1547 | 26% | 14% |
| 4 | Missouri St. | 1531 | 22% | 11% |
| 5 | Kennesaw St | 1530 | 22% | 10% |
| 6 | Liberty | 1497 | 15% | 6% |
| 7 | FIU | 1488 | 14% | 6% |
| 8 | Sam Houston | 1458 | 10% | 4% |
| 9 | New Mexico St | 1439 | 7% | 3% |
| 10 | Middle Tenn. | 1417 | 5% | 2% |
| 11 | Louisiana Tech | 1521 | — | — |
Values = P(reach that stage or further). Win = P(win conference tournament = auto NCAA bid). Seeds reflect average simulated finish position.
Conference USA Standings
2 qualify for championship gamePreseason projection · 39 games remainingStandings · Finishing Position Probabilities
| # | Team | Conf | Overall | Proj Conf | Proj Ovr | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jacksonville St. | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5.1–2.9 4–6 W | 7.0–5.0 6–8 W | 25 | 18 | 15 | 11 | 9.2 | 8.1 | 5.5 | 4.1 | 3.2 | 1.7 | |
| 2 | Western KY | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.8–3.2 4–6 W | 6.8–5.2 6–8 W | 21 | 16 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 8.2 | 6.3 | 5.6 | 4.6 | 2.9 | <1 |
| 3 | Delaware | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.4–3.6 3–5 W | 6.4–5.6 5–8 W | 13 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 9.1 | 8.3 | 6.8 | 5.0 | 0.2 |
| 4 | Missouri St. | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.2–3.8 3–5 W | 5.9–6.1 5–7 W | 10 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 8.0 | 5.5 | 0.3 |
| 5 | Kennesaw St | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.2–3.8 3–5 W | 6.1–5.9 5–7 W | 10 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 9.4 | 10 | 8.7 | 7.0 | 0.2 |
| 6 | FIU | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.4–3.6 3–4 W | 5.4–5.6 4–7 W | 5.8 | 8.2 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 6.7 | 0.6 |
| 7 | Liberty | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.4–3.6 2–4 W | 5.2–5.8 4–6 W | 5.9 | 9.0 | 9.2 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 7.5 | 0.8 |
| 8 | Sam Houston | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.5–4.5 3–4 W | 5.2–6.8 4–6 W | 3.9 | 5.6 | 7.3 | 7.8 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 0.9 |
| 9 | New Mexico St | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.2–4.8 2–4 W | 4.8–7.2 4–6 W | 3.1 | 4.1 | 5.3 | 6.4 | 9.0 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 20 | 1.6 |
| 10 | Middle Tenn. | 0–0 | 0–0 | 2.9–5.1 2–4 W | 4.8–7.2 4–6 W | 1.9 | 3.3 | 4.4 | 5.7 | 7.7 | 8.7 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 23 | 2.6 |
| 11 | Louisiana Tech | 0–0 | 0–0 | 0.0–0.0 0–0 W | 5.5–5.5 4–7 W | <1 | 7.3 | 93 |
Position columns: % of 10,000 simulated seasons finishing there. Row below cut line = P(reach championship game).
Finishing Position Range — Season Progression
Jacksonville St.Western KYDelawareMissouri St.Kennesaw StFIULibertySam HoustonNew Mexico StMiddle Tenn.Louisiana Tech