Conference Standings

Bracketology·Conference Races·At-Large Odds·NCAA Bracket— auto-bid races, conference by conference.

DivisionFBSFCSD2D3

Snapshot Week

Preseason
As of Preseason

Tournament Bracket

The bracket shows each seed line; teams appear as they mathematically clinch their seed, and results fill in as the tournament is played. Title odds are in the projections below.

🏟 Southern
Final
1TBD
2TBD
Southern Tournament Projections(10 teams · 10k simulations)
SeedTeamEloFinal🏆 Win
1Tennessee Tech160152%30%
2Mercer161047%29%
3ETSU153929%13%
4Western Caro.153022%10%
5Wofford149818%7%
6Chattanooga147712%5%
7Furman146312%5%
8The Citadel14086%2%
9Samford13371%—
10VMI12831%—

Values = P(reach that stage or further). Win = P(win conference tournament = auto NCAA bid). Seeds reflect average simulated finish position.

Southern Standings
2 qualify for championship gamePreseason projection · 36 games remaining

Standings · Finishing Position Probabilities

#TeamConfOverallProj ConfProj Ovr12345678910
1Tennessee Tech0–00–0
5.5–2.5
5–6 W
7.4–3.6
6–8 W
322015107.46.83.82.81.50.6
2Mercer0–00–0
4.8–2.2
4–6 W
7.2–3.8
6–8 W
26211612105.94.42.51.40.6
3ETSU0–00–0
4.3–2.7
3–5 W
6.9–4.1
6–8 W
1316151413108.35.33.51.4
4Western Caro.0–00–0
3.9–3.1
3–5 W
6.1–4.9
5–7 W
101213141312117.55.23.0
5Wofford0–00–0
3.8–3.2
3–5 W
5.5–5.5
4–7 W
7.31113131412119.36.13.5
6Furman0–00–0
3.5–3.5
3–4 W
5.0–6.0
4–6 W
4.47.41013131413118.55.4
7Chattanooga0–00–0
3.8–4.2
3–5 W
4.7–6.3
4–6 W
5.07.2108.812131213117.6
8The Citadel0–00–0
2.8–4.2
2–4 W
4.2–6.8
3–5 W
2.03.75.98.6101315161511
9Samford0–00–0
2.0–5.0
1–3 W
3.3–7.7
2–4 W
0.41.11.93.24.68.012182427
10VMI0–00–0
1.7–5.3
1–2 W
2.9–8.1
2–4 W
0.30.61.22.33.36.09.5142339

Position columns: % of 10,000 simulated seasons finishing there. Row below cut line = P(reach championship game).

Finishing Position Range — Season Progression

Tennessee TechMercerETSUWestern Caro.WoffordFurmanChattanoogaThe CitadelSamfordVMI
12345678910PreseasonPosition