Schedule Strength

Preseason projection vs. actual strength of schedule — 2017

Preseason projectionActual results

130 teams · ranked by avg opponent Elo

#	Team	Conf	SOS	ΔSOS	Opp W%	Rec	vs Proj	Conf	Elo	ΔElo
1	Maryland	Big Ten	1576	+70	73%	4-8	−1.4	2-7	1431	−40	▸
2	Alabama	SEC	1567	+39	61%	8-1	+3.0	5-1	1682	+124	▸
3	Syracuse	ACC	1564	+51	63%	4-8	−1.0	2-6	1415	−27	▸
4	Georgia	SEC	1563	+53	63%	11-2	+4.5	7-2	1667	+139	▸
5	Florida	SEC	1557	+41	64%	4-7	−2.0	3-5	1466	−31	▸
6	Auburn	SEC	1557	+40	60%	8-3	+2.8	5-2	1588	+112	▸
7	Notre Dame	Fbs Independent	1555	+36	61%	10-2	+4.6	—	1633	+164	▸
8	Miami (FL)	ACC	1554	+44	60%	10-3	+2.4	7-2	1637	+79	▸
9	Georgia Tech	ACC	1553	+43	61%	5-6	−1.2	4-4	1513	−22	▸
10	Navy	American Athletic	1549	+45	60%	6-6	−0.2	4-4	1503	−16	▸
11	East Carolina	American Athletic	1549	+37	61%	3-9	−2.0	2-6	1396	−47	▸
12	Tulane	American Athletic	1544	+31	60%	5-7	−0.3	3-5	1465	−7	▸
13	Boston College	ACC	1543	+50	61%	7-5	+0.8	4-4	1547	+44	▸
14	Charlotte	Conference USA	1541	+35	61%	1-11	−4.6	1-7	1341	−121	▸
15	LSU	SEC	1541	+43	59%	6-3	+0.6	3-1	1584	+50	▸
16	Clemson	ACC	1540	+34	58%	11-2	+3.0	8-1	1676	+111	▸
17	Vanderbilt	SEC	1538	+23	57%	5-7	−1.3	1-7	1489	−33	▸
18	Arkansas	SEC	1537	+38	60%	4-6	−1.3	1-5	1468	−28	▸
19	Wake Forest	ACC	1537	+39	58%	7-5	+1.5	4-4	1518	+51	▸
20	North Carolina	ACC	1537	+36	59%	3-9	−2.9	1-7	1433	−52	▸
21	NC State	ACC	1537	+44	58%	9-4	+2.4	6-2	1582	+78	▸
22	South Carolina	SEC	1534	+24	57%	8-3	+2.4	5-3	1595	+97	▸
23	Kansas	Big 12	1534	+33	58%	1-11	−4.7	0-9	1335	−135	▸
24	California	Pac-12	1533	+20	57%	5-6	+0.2	2-6	1474	+0	▸
25	Baylor	Big 12	1533	+29	58%	1-11	−4.3	1-8	1338	−112	▸
26	Nevada	Mountain West	1532	+23	57%	3-9	−2.9	3-5	1433	−71	▸
27	Arizona St.	Pac-12	1531	+25	58%	7-6	+1.2	6-3	1507	+55	▸
28	Florida St.	ACC	1531	+31	56%	6-6	−1.1	3-5	1558	−12	▸
29	Texas Tech	Big 12	1531	+24	55%	6-6	+0.6	3-6	1488	+17	▸
30	UCLA	Pac-12	1529	+25	58%	6-5	+0.8	4-3	1507	+42	▸
31	Kentucky	SEC	1529	+27	56%	7-5	+0.8	4-4	1522	+18	▸
32	Southern California	Pac-12	1528	+25	58%	6-2	+1.7	6-0	1592	+42	▸
33	Tulsa	American Athletic	1528	+12	56%	2-10	−4.3	1-7	1411	−120	▸
34	Iowa State	Big 12	1528	+25	55%	7-5	+1.1	5-4	1530	+32	▸
35	Duke	ACC	1527	+19	54%	6-6	+0.4	3-5	1494	+21	▸
36	Ole Miss	SEC	1527	+23	58%	6-5	+0.6	3-4	1534	+41	▸
37	Oregon	Pac-12	1526	+29	56%	7-5	+1.0	4-4	1525	+40	▸
38	Kent State	MAC	1525	+22	57%	2-10	−3.0	1-7	1354	−102	▸
39	Boise St	Mountain West	1525	+23	56%	11-3	+3.9	8-1	1639	+133	▸
40	Tennessee	SEC	1525	+21	53%	4-7	−1.9	0-7	1461	−65	▸
41	Illinois	Big Ten	1524	+18	58%	2-10	−3.5	0-9	1360	−107	▸
42	Pitt	ACC	1524	+19	55%	5-7	−1.3	3-5	1496	−16	▸
43	Nebraska	Big Ten	1523	+25	58%	4-6	−1.0	3-4	1464	−36	▸
44	Bowling Green	MAC	1522	+32	57%	2-10	−4.4	2-6	1391	−137	▸
45	Rice	Conference USA	1522	+17	56%	1-11	−5.4	1-7	1351	−153	▸
46	New Mexico	Mountain West	1522	+23	55%	3-9	−3.7	1-7	1427	−117	▸
47	Virginia Tech	ACC	1520	+12	52%	9-3	+2.8	5-3	1595	+84	▸
48	Purdue	Big Ten	1520	+24	58%	7-6	+1.2	4-5	1505	+65	▸
49	Cincinnati	American Athletic	1518	+27	58%	4-8	−1.2	2-6	1408	−34	▸
50	GA Southern	Sun Belt	1518	+14	54%	2-10	−3.3	2-6	1374	−98	▸

Actual end-of-season results. Δ columns compare against the preseason projection (final − preseason). SOS is the average end-of-season Elo of opponents played. Ratings as of Jan 14.