Schedule Strength

Preseason projection vs. actual strength of schedule — 2019

Preseason projectionActual results

130 teams · ranked by avg opponent Elo

#	Team	Conf	SOS	ΔSOS	Opp W%	Rec	vs Proj	Conf	Elo	ΔElo
1	South Carolina	SEC	1616	+61	67%	4-8	−1.3	3-5	1487	−17	▸
2	LSU	SEC	1572	+29	59%	15-0	+7.4	9-0	1726	+201	▸
3	Auburn	SEC	1564	+41	64%	9-4	+2.0	5-3	1585	+46	▸
4	Georgia	SEC	1560	+40	59%	12-2	+3.9	7-2	1692	+115	▸
5	Florida	SEC	1559	+38	58%	11-2	+3.8	6-2	1630	+89	▸
6	Ole Miss	SEC	1557	+29	57%	4-8	−1.1	2-6	1421	−40	▸
7	Vanderbilt	SEC	1553	+39	54%	3-9	−3.0	1-7	1448	−56	▸
8	Mississippi St.	SEC	1550	+34	60%	6-7	−0.6	3-5	1532	+17	▸
9	Louisville	ACC	1547	+21	58%	8-5	+2.4	5-3	1507	+36	▸
10	Virginia	ACC	1543	+20	55%	9-5	+3.2	6-3	1502	+54	▸
11	New Mexico	Mountain West	1542	+31	59%	2-10	−2.5	0-8	1331	−85	▸
12	Ohio St.	Big Ten	1540	+17	59%	13-1	+3.7	10-0	1749	+110	▸
13	Wisconsin	Big Ten	1539	+26	60%	10-4	+1.1	7-3	1652	+55	▸
14	GA Southern	Sun Belt	1538	+30	57%	7-6	+0.3	5-3	1521	+7	▸
15	Marshall	Conference USA	1538	+27	56%	8-5	+1.7	6-2	1503	+19	▸
16	Duke	ACC	1538	+16	58%	5-7	−1.4	3-5	1505	−29	▸
17	Iowa State	Big 12	1537	+17	58%	7-6	+0.3	5-4	1508	−5	▸
18	Michigan	Big Ten	1537	+10	59%	9-4	+2.5	6-3	1547	+28	▸
19	Tennessee	SEC	1537	+12	58%	8-5	+1.8	5-3	1594	+113	▸
20	Florida St.	ACC	1536	+15	59%	6-7	−1.0	4-4	1531	−13	▸
21	Houston	American Athletic	1535	+20	61%	4-8	−1.4	2-6	1439	−37	▸
22	Texas A&M	SEC	1534	+16	55%	8-5	+0.5	4-4	1602	+41	▸
23	Clemson	ACC	1534	+24	56%	14-1	+3.4	9-0	1793	+123	▸
24	Texas St.	Sun Belt	1532	+17	58%	3-9	−1.3	2-6	1338	−70	▸
25	Georgia Tech	ACC	1532	+8	57%	3-9	−2.9	2-6	1447	−55	▸
26	Missouri	SEC	1531	+20	51%	6-6	−0.9	3-5	1528	−29	▸
27	Arkansas	SEC	1531	+21	58%	2-10	−3.3	0-8	1354	−91	▸
28	North Carolina	ACC	1529	−1	55%	7-6	+1.4	4-5	1503	+30	▸
29	Southern California	Pac-12	1528	+11	57%	8-5	+2.1	7-2	1512	+22	▸
30	Washington	Pac-12	1528	+21	58%	8-5	−0.1	4-5	1626	+42	▸
31	Utah State	Mountain West	1528	+16	58%	7-6	+0.6	6-2	1517	+8	▸
32	UL Monroe	Sun Belt	1527	+15	55%	5-7	−0.4	4-4	1455	−21	▸
33	Louisiana	Sun Belt	1525	+9	49%	11-3	+4.5	7-2	1598	+108	▸
34	Georgia St	Sun Belt	1525	+8	50%	7-6	+2.2	4-4	1359	−71	▸
35	Charlotte	Conference USA	1524	+2	48%	7-6	+2.3	5-3	1461	+52	▸
36	West Virginia	Big 12	1522	−4	56%	5-7	−0.8	3-6	1504	−11	▸
37	UNLV	Mountain West	1522	+2	49%	4-8	−1.5	2-6	1486	−3	▸
38	Hawai'i	Mountain West	1522	+5	54%	10-5	+3.4	5-4	1560	+93	▸
39	Kentucky	SEC	1522	+8	52%	8-5	+1.0	3-5	1590	+73	▸
40	Texas	Big 12	1521	+18	59%	8-5	+0.5	5-4	1576	+30	▸
41	Middle Tenn.	Conference USA	1521	+15	49%	4-8	−2.2	3-5	1464	−52	▸
42	Stanford	Pac-12	1520	+15	54%	4-8	−3.7	3-6	1528	−72	▸
43	Alabama	SEC	1520	+16	48%	11-2	+1.9	6-2	1691	+45	▸
44	Kansas	Big 12	1520	+3	54%	3-9	−1.1	1-8	1291	−97	▸
45	Baylor	Big 12	1520	+9	51%	11-3	+4.6	8-2	1514	+47	▸
46	Southern Miss	Conference USA	1520	+7	53%	7-6	+0.5	5-3	1499	−26	▸
47	Miami (FL)	ACC	1519	+13	57%	6-7	−1.0	4-4	1499	−30	▸
48	Northwestern	Big Ten	1519	+5	53%	3-9	−4.3	1-8	1565	−21	▸
49	South Alabama	Sun Belt	1519	+7	56%	2-10	−2.9	1-7	1388	−56	▸
50	Kansas St	Big 12	1518	+11	54%	8-5	+0.5	5-4	1536	−10	▸

Actual end-of-season results. Δ columns compare against the preseason projection (final − preseason). SOS is the average end-of-season Elo of opponents played. Ratings as of Jan 19.