Schedule Strength

Preseason projection vs. actual strength of schedule — 2023

Preseason projectionActual results

133 teams · ranked by avg opponent Elo

#	Team	Conf	SOS	ΔSOS	Opp W%	Rec	vs Proj	Conf	Elo	ΔElo
1	Alabama	SEC	1695	+97	64%	12-2	+1.7	9-0	1978	+194	▸
2	South Carolina	SEC	1683	+74	61%	5-7	−1.2	3-5	1631	+35	▸
3	Missouri	SEC	1674	+71	59%	11-2	+5.4	6-2	1780	+252	▸
4	Texas	Big 12	1663	+81	59%	12-2	+4.7	9-1	1818	+227	▸
5	Tennessee	SEC	1657	+72	57%	9-4	+0.8	4-4	1779	+114	▸
6	Michigan St	Big Ten	1656	+84	64%	4-8	−1.9	2-7	1534	−18	▸
7	Ole Miss	SEC	1656	+57	57%	11-2	+4.4	6-2	1811	+213	▸
8	LSU	SEC	1653	+76	59%	10-3	+2.0	6-2	1811	+159	▸
9	Iowa State	Big 12	1651	+63	60%	7-6	+1.8	6-3	1620	+110	▸
10	Kansas St	Big 12	1650	+76	58%	9-4	+1.0	6-3	1755	+112	▸
11	Georgia	SEC	1647	+76	58%	13-1	+1.7	8-1	2046	+207	▸
12	Kentucky	SEC	1645	+55	55%	7-6	+0.3	3-5	1651	+63	▸
13	Vanderbilt	SEC	1641	+74	58%	2-10	−2.2	0-8	1362	−87	▸
14	Auburn	SEC	1640	+65	57%	6-7	−0.1	3-5	1570	+21	▸
15	Florida	SEC	1638	+55	54%	5-7	−0.3	3-5	1546	+19	▸
16	Ohio St.	Big Ten	1638	+69	59%	11-2	+1.6	8-1	1892	+150	▸
17	Texas Tech	Big 12	1637	+72	58%	7-6	−0.1	5-4	1673	+80	▸
18	Mississippi St.	SEC	1635	+56	53%	5-7	−2.0	1-7	1602	−23	▸
19	Houston	Big 12	1632	+38	52%	4-8	−2.0	2-7	1544	−37	▸
20	BYU	Big 12	1631	+64	55%	5-7	−2.0	2-7	1599	−32	▸
21	Washington	Pac-12	1628	+70	59%	14-1	+5.2	10-0	1870	+258	▸
22	Duke	ACC	1628	+63	59%	8-5	+2.4	4-4	1607	+107	▸
23	Virginia	ACC	1626	+75	62%	3-9	−1.4	2-6	1424	−26	▸
24	Oklahoma St.	Big 12	1623	+63	55%	10-4	+2.2	7-3	1730	+137	▸
25	TCU	Big 12	1622	+70	57%	5-7	−3.1	3-6	1641	−38	▸
26	Texas A&M	SEC	1621	+49	54%	7-6	+0.2	4-4	1641	+54	▸
27	Stanford	Pac-12	1620	+73	61%	3-9	−1.3	2-7	1383	−42	▸
28	Arkansas	SEC	1620	+55	55%	4-8	−2.8	1-7	1561	−34	▸
29	Baylor	Big 12	1619	+50	53%	3-9	−3.4	2-7	1500	−75	▸
30	Penn St.	Big Ten	1617	+87	60%	10-3	+1.3	7-2	1768	+113	▸
31	Arizona St.	Pac-12	1617	+80	63%	3-9	−1.8	2-7	1409	−32	▸
32	Michigan	Big Ten	1616	+54	56%	15-0	+4.4	10-0	1998	+279	▸
33	Purdue	Big Ten	1616	+63	58%	4-8	−2.5	3-6	1536	−34	▸
34	West Virginia	Big 12	1613	+12	49%	9-4	+3.7	6-3	1691	+163	▸
35	Wake Forest	ACC	1613	+66	55%	4-8	−2.6	1-7	1509	−73	▸
36	UCF	Big 12	1613	+49	53%	6-7	−0.8	3-6	1586	+11	▸
37	Oklahoma	Big 12	1613	+70	57%	10-3	+2.7	7-2	1719	+132	▸
38	Minnesota	Big Ten	1609	+46	56%	6-7	−1.4	3-6	1594	−3	▸
39	Cincinnati	Big 12	1609	+51	53%	3-9	−4.8	1-8	1550	−115	▸
40	Georgia Tech	ACC	1606	+49	57%	7-6	+1.7	5-3	1571	+97	▸
41	Kansas	Big 12	1604	+44	53%	9-4	+4.8	5-4	1601	+179	▸
42	California	Pac-12	1602	+50	56%	6-7	+1.4	4-5	1504	+61	▸
43	Oregon St.	Pac-12	1600	+65	58%	8-5	+0.5	5-4	1657	+59	▸
44	Iowa	Big Ten	1599	+51	53%	10-4	+1.5	7-3	1723	+99	▸
45	Clemson	ACC	1599	+51	55%	9-4	−0.1	4-4	1800	+101	▸
46	Florida St.	ACC	1597	+42	52%	13-1	+4.4	9-0	1842	+216	▸
47	Pitt	ACC	1595	+52	55%	3-9	−4.2	2-6	1529	−94	▸
48	Utah	Pac-12	1594	+70	56%	8-5	−0.4	5-4	1660	+27	▸
49	Notre Dame	Fbs Independent	1594	+29	54%	10-3	+1.2	—	1808	+117	▸
50	North Carolina	ACC	1592	+50	52%	8-5	+1.0	4-4	1618	+49	▸

Actual end-of-season results. Δ columns compare against the preseason projection (final − preseason). SOS is the average end-of-season Elo of opponents played. Ratings as of Jan 14.