Conference Standings

ACC Tournament Projections(18 teams · 10k simulations)
SeedTeamEloR1R2QuartersSemisFinal🏆 Win
1Pitt226999%99%99%99%99%65%
2Stanford220299%99%95%84%55%22%
3Louisville214199%98%91%64%31%10%
4Miami (FL)203099%95%78%31%10%2%
5North Carolina192899%90%58%12%3%1%
6Georgia Tech185099%83%35%5%1%—
7Florida St.181899%74%21%3%1%—
8NC State173399%62%9%1%——
9Notre Dame167599%50%4%———
10Clemson167499%50%4%———
11Wake Forest165099%38%3%———
12Virginia164199%26%1%———
13California157799%17%1%———
14Boston College155399%10%————
15Syracuse150099%4%————
16SMU150099%3%————
17Virginia Tech144799%1%————
18Duke137599%1%————

Values = P(reach that stage or further). Win = P(win conference tournament = auto NCAA bid). Seeded by Elo.

ACC Standings
18 qualify for tournamentThrough 2026-06-08 · 87 games remaining

Snapshot Week

Jun 1Jun 8

Standings · Finishing Position Probabilities

#TeamConfOverallProj ConfProj Ovr123456789101112131415161718
1Pitt0–00–0
36.4–3.6
36.4–3.6
99<1
2Florida St.0–00–0
21.7–16.3
21.7–16.3
<172216.00.40.1<1<1<1<1<1
3NC State0–00–0
18.5–21.5
18.5–21.5
1745323.40.90.40.10.2<1<1<1<1<1
4Wake Forest0–00–0
17.2–22.8
17.2–22.8
1132475.11.91.10.50.30.40.2<10.1<1<1
5Miami (FL)0–00–0
10.6–3.4
10.6–3.4
0.69.03721137.85.52.91.60.80.40.10.1<1<1<1
6Stanford0–00–0
9.2–2.8
9.2–2.8
<12.723211816104.82.41.30.40.1<1<1
7Louisville0–00–0
8.0–2.0
8.0–2.0
0.410202520126.63.11.50.60.3<1<1<1
8North Carolina0–00–0
8.5–3.5
8.5–3.5
<11.313181717138.15.53.21.60.80.50.30.1<1
9Georgia Tech0–00–0
6.1–3.9
6.1–3.9
<11.44.89.4131617148.86.74.02.41.70.90.4
10Duke0–00–0
6.7–33.3
6.7–33.3
0.21.24.95.86.16.78.99.38.98.66.65.36.86.24.211
11Clemson0–00–0
6.0–8.0
6.0–8.0
<10.31.52.94.16.3111112128.78.38.15.65.04.2
12Notre Dame0–00–0
4.5–5.5
4.5–5.5
<10.31.02.04.17.512131414117.77.04.92.9
13Virginia0–00–0
4.3–7.7
4.3–7.7
<10.20.71.42.53.96.9109.411131210127.7
14California0–00–0
3.4–6.6
3.4–6.6
<1<10.30.81.53.45.87.41113121213119.1
15Syracuse0–00–0
3.9–8.1
3.9–8.1
<10.10.20.81.72.75.78.18.4101312111412
16Boston College0–00–0
2.9–7.1
2.9–7.1
<10.10.40.92.14.05.28.5111212151414
17Virginia Tech0–00–0
3.9–10.1
3.9–10.1
0.10.20.51.32.93.96.87.97.81012111520
18SMU0–00–0
2.4–7.6
2.4–7.6
<10.20.71.53.05.48.71014191818

Position columns: % of 10,000 simulated seasons finishing there. Row below cut line = P(reach tournament).

Finishing Position Range — Season Progression

PittFlorida St.NC StateWake ForestMiami (FL)StanfordLouisvilleNorth CarolinaGeorgia TechDukeClemsonNotre DameVirginiaCaliforniaSyracuseBoston CollegeVirginia TechSMU
123456789101112131415161718Jun 1Jun 8Position