2026 Big Sky Volleyball Championship
Bracketology·Conference Races·At-Large Odds·NCAA Bracket— auto-bid races, conference by conference.
Reflects results through the preseason. Seeds appear as they clinch; matchups and winners as games are played.
🏟 Big Sky
Quarterfinals
Semifinals
Championship
Big Sky Tournament Projections(11 teams · 10k simulations)
| Seed | Team | Elo | Quarters | Semis | Final | 🏆 Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | N Colorado | 1665 | 99% | 79% | 51% | 30% |
| 2 | Northern Ariz. | 1633 | 99% | 74% | 44% | 24% |
| 3 | Utah Tech | 1601 | 99% | 66% | 36% | 19% |
| 4 | Weber St. | 1510 | 98% | 50% | 22% | 9% |
| 5 | Idaho St. | 1486 | 97% | 44% | 18% | 7% |
| 6 | Montana | 1452 | 95% | 38% | 14% | 5% |
| 7 | Montana St. | 1397 | 90% | 27% | 9% | 3% |
| 8 | Portland St. | 1335 | 83% | 19% | 5% | 2% |
| 9 | Eastern Wash. | 1157 | 20% | 2% | 1% | — |
| 10 | Southern Utah | 1158 | 14% | 1% | — | — |
| 11 | Idaho | 1036 | 4% | — | — | — |
Values = P(reach that stage or further). Win = P(win conference tournament = auto NCAA bid). Seeds reflect average simulated finish position.
Big Sky Standings
8 qualify for tournamentPreseason projection · 99 games remainingStandings · Finishing Position Probabilities
| # | Team | Conf | Overall | Proj Conf | Proj Ovr | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | N Colorado | 0–0 | 0–0 | 14.3–3.7 13–16 W | 21.0–9.0 19–23 W | 37 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 5.2 | 3.2 | 1.6 | 0.5 | <1 | ||
| 2 | Northern Ariz. | 0–0 | 0–0 | 13.8–4.2 12–15 W | 22.2–8.8 20–24 W | 29 | 25 | 18 | 12 | 7.6 | 4.4 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 | <1 | <1 |
| 3 | Utah Tech | 0–0 | 0–0 | 12.5–5.5 11–14 W | 18.8–11.2 17–21 W | 16 | 19 | 19 | 15 | 12 | 8.8 | 6.1 | 3.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 | <1 |
| 4 | Weber St. | 0–0 | 0–0 | 11.1–6.9 9–13 W | 15.9–13.1 14–18 W | 7.0 | 11 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 5.9 | 1.7 | 0.5 | <1 |
| 5 | Idaho St. | 0–0 | 0–0 | 10.6–7.4 9–12 W | 15.8–15.2 14–18 W | 5.4 | 8.5 | 12 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 14 | 8.3 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.1 |
| 6 | Montana | 0–0 | 0–0 | 10.1–7.9 8–12 W | 14.0–12.0 12–16 W | 3.4 | 6.2 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 11 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 0.1 |
| 7 | Montana St. | 0–0 | 0–0 | 8.9–9.1 7–11 W | 12.0–14.0 10–14 W | 1.2 | 2.9 | 5.8 | 9.1 | 13 | 17 | 20 | 20 | 7.1 | 2.3 | 0.6 |
| 8 | Portland St. | 0–0 | 0–0 | 8.1–9.9 6–10 W | 12.3–18.7 10–14 W | 0.6 | 1.6 | 3.6 | 6.7 | 10 | 15 | 20 | 26 | 11 | 4.6 | 1.7 |
| 9 | Eastern Wash. | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.0–14.0 2–5 W | 7.7–23.3 6–9 W | <1 | <1 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 4.8 | 12 | 31 | 29 | 19 | |
| 10 | Southern Utah | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.4–14.6 2–5 W | 6.5–22.5 5–8 W | <1 | <1 | <1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 3.1 | 9.1 | 27 | 35 | 24 |
| 11 | Idaho | 0–0 | 0–0 | 2.2–15.8 1–3 W | 5.0–26.0 3–6 W | <1 | <1 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 3.4 | 15 | 27 | 53 |
Position columns: % of 10,000 simulated seasons finishing there. Row below cut line = P(reach tournament).
Finishing Position Range — Season Progression
N ColoradoNorthern Ariz.Utah TechWeber St.Idaho St.MontanaMontana St.Portland St.Eastern Wash.Southern UtahIdaho