2026 Big West Volleyball Championship
Bracketology·Conference Races·At-Large Odds·NCAA Bracket— auto-bid races, conference by conference.
Reflects results through the preseason. Seeds appear as they clinch; matchups and winners as games are played.
🏟 Big West
First Round
Semifinals
Championship
Big West Tournament Projections(12 teams · 10k simulations)
| Seed | Team | Elo | Quarters | Semis | Final | 🏆 Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cal Poly | 1931 | 99% | 96% | 75% | 51% |
| 2 | UC Santa Barbara | 1784 | 97% | 79% | 43% | 19% |
| 3 | Long Beach St. | 1766 | 96% | 77% | 39% | 16% |
| 4 | Utah Valley | 1637 | 77% | 43% | 14% | 5% |
| 5 | Sacramento St. | 1635 | 79% | 46% | 15% | 5% |
| 6 | CSUN | 1549 | 75% | 33% | 8% | 2% |
| 7 | UC Irvine | 1518 | 51% | 21% | 5% | 1% |
| 8 | UC San Diego | 1346 | 10% | 3% | — | — |
| 9 | UC Riverside | 1336 | 8% | 2% | — | — |
| 10 | California Baptist | 1259 | 2% | — | — | — |
| 11 | CSU Bakersfield | 1255 | 5% | 1% | — | — |
| 12 | Cal St. Fullerton | 1148 | — | — | — | — |
Values = P(reach that stage or further). Win = P(win conference tournament = auto NCAA bid). Seeds reflect average simulated finish position.
Big West Standings
6 qualify for tournamentPreseason projection · 107 games remainingStandings · Finishing Position Probabilities
| # | Team | Conf | Overall | Proj Conf | Proj Ovr | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cal Poly | 0–0 | 0–0 | 15.7–2.3 15–17 W | 21.5–6.5 20–23 W | 61 | 22 | 10 | 4.1 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | <1 | ||||
| 2 | UC Santa Barbara | 0–0 | 0–0 | 13.5–4.5 12–15 W | 20.3–10.7 19–22 W | 16 | 28 | 22 | 15 | 10 | 6.0 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 | <1 | <1 | |
| 3 | Long Beach St. | 0–0 | 0–0 | 13.4–4.6 12–15 W | 20.3–8.7 19–22 W | 14 | 25 | 24 | 16 | 11 | 5.9 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | <1 | <1 | |
| 4 | Sacramento St. | 0–0 | 0–0 | 11.2–6.8 10–13 W | 17.2–11.8 15–19 W | 3.1 | 8.9 | 14 | 18 | 19 | 16 | 12 | 5.5 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 0.2 | <1 |
| 5 | Utah Valley | 0–0 | 0–0 | 10.4–6.6 9–12 W | 15.7–12.3 14–18 W | 2.4 | 7.1 | 12 | 17 | 19 | 19 | 14 | 6.3 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.2 | <1 |
| 6 | CSUN | 0–0 | 0–0 | 10.8–7.2 9–13 W | 15.8–14.2 14–18 W | 1.4 | 6.2 | 12 | 17 | 19 | 19 | 13 | 6.9 | 3.1 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 7 | UC Irvine | 0–0 | 0–0 | 9.3–8.7 8–11 W | 15.2–14.8 13–17 W | 0.7 | 3.2 | 5.6 | 9.5 | 14 | 18 | 22 | 14 | 7.0 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.4 |
| 8 | UC San Diego | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5.8–12.2 4–7 W | 8.8–20.2 7–11 W | <1 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 2.5 | 5.6 | 11 | 18 | 21 | 19 | 13 | 7.5 |
| 9 | UC Riverside | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5.3–11.7 4–7 W | 9.6–17.4 8–11 W | <1 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 1.9 | 4.7 | 11 | 21 | 22 | 19 | 13 | 6.1 | |
| 10 | CSU Bakersfield | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5.0–13.0 3–7 W | 8.1–21.9 6–10 W | <1 | <1 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 3.2 | 7.4 | 15 | 19 | 20 | 19 | 15 |
| 11 | California Baptist | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.0–14.0 2–5 W | 8.3–19.7 7–10 W | <1 | <1 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 3.8 | 9.4 | 16 | 22 | 26 | 21 | |
| 12 | Cal St. Fullerton | 0–0 | 0–0 | 2.6–15.4 1–4 W | 7.9–24.1 6–9 W | <1 | <1 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 2.6 | 6.5 | 14 | 26 | 51 |
Position columns: % of 10,000 simulated seasons finishing there. Row below cut line = P(reach tournament).
Finishing Position Range — Season Progression
Cal PolyUC Santa BarbaraLong Beach St.Sacramento St.Utah ValleyCSUNUC IrvineUC San DiegoUC RiversideCSU BakersfieldCalifornia BaptistCal St. Fullerton