2026 MVC Volleyball Tournament
Bracketology·Conference Races·At-Large Odds·NCAA Bracket— auto-bid races, conference by conference.
Reflects results through the preseason. Seeds appear as they clinch; matchups and winners as games are played.
🏟 Missouri Valley
Quarterfinals
Semifinals
Championship
Missouri Valley Tournament Projections(11 teams · 10k simulations)
| Seed | Team | Elo | Quarters | Semis | Final | 🏆 Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UNI | 1972 | 99% | 99% | 88% | 70% |
| 2 | Drake | 1719 | 97% | 84% | 48% | 15% |
| 3 | UIC | 1650 | 92% | 68% | 28% | 8% |
| 4 | Valparaiso | 1560 | 81% | 49% | 14% | 3% |
| 5 | Illinois St. | 1536 | 80% | 47% | 14% | 3% |
| 6 | Belmont | 1431 | 53% | 21% | 4% | 1% |
| 7 | Bradley | 1403 | 41% | 15% | 3% | 1% |
| 8 | Southern Ill. | 1366 | 41% | 13% | 2% | — |
| 9 | Murray St. | 1188 | 6% | 1% | — | — |
| 10 | Evansville | 1150 | 3% | 1% | — | — |
| 11 | Indiana St. | 1169 | 5% | 1% | — | — |
Values = P(reach that stage or further). Win = P(win conference tournament = auto NCAA bid). Seeds reflect average simulated finish position.
Missouri Valley Standings
6 qualify for tournamentPreseason projection · 88 games remainingStandings · Finishing Position Probabilities
| # | Team | Conf | Overall | Proj Conf | Proj Ovr | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UNI | 0–0 | 0–0 | 14.8–1.2 14–16 W | 23.9–5.1 23–25 W | 83 | 13 | 2.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | <1 | |||||
| 2 | Drake | 0–0 | 0–0 | 11.7–4.3 11–13 W | 19.5–8.5 18–21 W | 10 | 38 | 24 | 14 | 7.5 | 3.6 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 | <1 | <1 |
| 3 | UIC | 0–0 | 0–0 | 10.5–5.5 9–12 W | 19.5–9.5 18–21 W | 4.2 | 21 | 24 | 20 | 14 | 9.0 | 4.9 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 0.2 | <1 |
| 4 | Illinois St. | 0–0 | 0–0 | 9.5–6.5 8–11 W | 20.2–8.8 18–22 W | 1.6 | 12 | 18 | 19 | 16 | 13 | 10 | 6.0 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| 5 | Valparaiso | 0–0 | 0–0 | 9.3–6.7 8–11 W | 18.7–11.3 17–20 W | 1.4 | 10 | 16 | 19 | 19 | 15 | 10 | 5.5 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 6 | Belmont | 0–0 | 0–0 | 7.6–8.4 6–9 W | 13.2–15.8 11–15 W | 0.2 | 2.6 | 6.0 | 11 | 15 | 18 | 18 | 15 | 8.3 | 3.9 | 1.4 |
| 7 | Bradley | 0–0 | 0–0 | 6.7–9.3 5–8 W | 12.4–17.6 10–14 W | <1 | 1.6 | 4.0 | 8.2 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 12 | 7.6 | 3.0 |
| 8 | Southern Ill. | 0–0 | 0–0 | 6.9–9.1 5–9 W | 13.9–14.1 12–16 W | <1 | 1.2 | 3.8 | 7.3 | 12 | 17 | 19 | 17 | 12 | 7.3 | 3.3 |
| 9 | Murray St. | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.0–12.0 2–5 W | 7.8–20.2 6–9 W | <1 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 3.8 | 7.5 | 14 | 22 | 25 | 25 | |
| 10 | Indiana St. | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.7–12.3 2–5 W | 8.0–21.0 6–10 W | <1 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 3.1 | 5.7 | 12 | 20 | 27 | 30 | |
| 11 | Evansville | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.3–12.7 2–5 W | 8.3–20.7 7–10 W | <1 | <1 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 5.0 | 9.3 | 19 | 28 | 36 |
Position columns: % of 10,000 simulated seasons finishing there. Row below cut line = P(reach tournament).
Finishing Position Range — Season Progression
UNIDrakeUICIllinois St.ValparaisoBelmontBradleySouthern Ill.Murray St.Indiana St.Evansville