Conference Standings
Bracketology·Conference Races·At-Large Odds·NCAA Bracket— auto-bid races, conference by conference.
Tournament Bracket
The bracket shows each seed line; teams appear as they mathematically clinch their seed, and results fill in as the tournament is played. Title odds are in the projections below.
🏟 United Athletic
Quarterfinals
Semifinals
Final
United Athletic Tournament Projections(9 teams · 10k simulations)
| Seed | Team | Elo | Quarters | Semis | Final | 🏆 Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Central Ark. | 1675 | 99% | 89% | 67% | 40% |
| 2 | Eastern Ky. | 1656 | 99% | 88% | 63% | 36% |
| 3 | Tarleton St. | 1457 | 99% | 56% | 21% | 7% |
| 4 | North Ala. | 1402 | 99% | 44% | 14% | 5% |
| 5 | Little Rock | 1397 | 99% | 43% | 13% | 4% |
| 6 | UT Arlington | 1367 | 98% | 37% | 11% | 4% |
| 7 | Abilene Christian | 1361 | 98% | 36% | 10% | 3% |
| 8 | Austin Peay | 1134 | 73% | 6% | 1% | — |
| 9 | West Ga. | 1008 | 32% | 1% | — | — |
Values = P(reach that stage or further). Win = P(win conference tournament = auto NCAA bid). Seeds reflect average simulated finish position.
United Athletic Standings
8 qualify for tournamentPreseason projection · 72 games remainingStandings · Finishing Position Probabilities
| # | Team | Conf | Overall | Proj Conf | Proj Ovr | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Central Ark. | 0–0 | 0–0 | 13.1–2.9 12–15 W | 20.5–8.5 19–22 W | 48 | 32 | 12 | 4.9 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 | <1 | |
| 2 | Eastern Ky. | 0–0 | 0–0 | 12.8–3.2 12–14 W | 20.2–9.8 19–22 W | 40 | 35 | 14 | 6.3 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 0.3 | <1 | <1 |
| 3 | Tarleton St. | 0–0 | 0–0 | 9.3–6.7 8–11 W | 14.0–16.0 12–16 W | 4.7 | 12 | 22 | 20 | 17 | 13 | 8.0 | 2.5 | 0.4 |
| 4 | North Ala. | 0–0 | 0–0 | 8.3–7.7 7–10 W | 15.6–16.4 14–18 W | 2.1 | 6.6 | 15 | 19 | 19 | 18 | 15 | 4.9 | 0.8 |
| 5 | Little Rock | 0–0 | 0–0 | 8.2–7.8 6–10 W | 14.7–14.3 13–17 W | 2.3 | 6.2 | 15 | 18 | 20 | 18 | 15 | 5.0 | 0.9 |
| 6 | UT Arlington | 0–0 | 0–0 | 7.6–8.4 6–9 W | 12.8–17.2 11–15 W | 1.3 | 4.5 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 22 | 19 | 7.4 | 1.6 |
| 7 | Abilene Christian | 0–0 | 0–0 | 7.5–8.5 6–9 W | 14.1–15.9 12–16 W | 1.1 | 4.2 | 11 | 15 | 18 | 20 | 22 | 7.6 | 1.5 |
| 8 | Austin Peay | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.4–12.6 2–5 W | 8.6–22.4 7–10 W | <1 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 2.8 | 6.4 | 15 | 48 | 27 | |
| 9 | West Ga. | 0–0 | 0–0 | 1.9–14.1 1–3 W | 6.3–21.7 5–8 W | <1 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 5.4 | 25 | 68 |
Position columns: % of 10,000 simulated seasons finishing there. Row below cut line = P(reach tournament).
Finishing Position Range — Season Progression
Central Ark.Eastern Ky.Tarleton St.North Ala.Little RockUT ArlingtonAbilene ChristianAustin PeayWest Ga.