Conference Standings
Bracketology·Conference Races·At-Large Odds·NCAA Bracket— auto-bid races, conference by conference.
Tournament Bracket
The bracket shows each seed line; teams appear as they mathematically clinch their seed, and results fill in as the tournament is played. Title odds are in the projections below.
Sun Belt Tournament Projections(13 teams · 10k simulations)
| Seed | Team | Elo | 🏆 Win |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | James Madison | 1681 | 54% |
| 2 | Arkansas St | 1549 | 30% |
| 3 | Louisiana | 1540 | 28% |
| 4 | Troy | 1567 | 21% |
| 5 | Old Dominion | 1610 | 14% |
| 6 | Marshall | 1550 | 13% |
| 7 | South Alabama | 1493 | 11% |
| 8 | App State | 1503 | 7% |
| 9 | Southern Miss | 1483 | 6% |
| 10 | Coastal Carolina | 1518 | 5% |
| 11 | GA Southern | 1560 | 5% |
| 12 | UL Monroe | 1411 | 3% |
| 13 | Georgia St | 1410 | 1% |
Values = P(reach that stage or further). Win = P(win conference tournament = auto NCAA bid). Seeds reflect average simulated finish position.
Sun Belt Standings
Division winner qualifies for championship gamePreseason projection · 44 games remainingStandings · Finishing Position Probabilities
East Division
| # | Team | Conf | Overall | Proj Conf | Proj Ovr | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | James Madison | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5.6–2.4 5–7 W | 8.5–3.5 7–10 W | 39 | 18 | 12 | 8.8 | 4.7 | 5.0 | 4.9 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.5 |
| 2 | Old Dominion | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.7–2.3 3–4 W | 6.9–4.1 6–8 W | 8.8 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 8.6 | 10 | 6.9 | 3.7 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 2.2 | 1.4 |
| 3 | Marshall | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.9–3.1 3–5 W | 6.1–4.9 5–7 W | 7.8 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 9.2 | 7.3 | 8.3 | 8.2 | 5.3 | 4.5 | 4.2 | 2.7 |
| 4 | GA Southern | 0–0 | 0–0 | 2.9–3.1 2–4 W | 5.5–5.5 4–7 W | 3.1 | 5.1 | 6.9 | 9.0 | 7.4 | 9.1 | 13 | 9.2 | 7.6 | 10 | 8.2 | 6.2 | 5.0 |
| 5 | App State | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.3–3.7 2–4 W | 5.3–5.7 4–6 W | 4.1 | 5.0 | 6.5 | 7.2 | 8.2 | 10 | 8.0 | 10 | 10 | 8.5 | 8.2 | 7.8 | 7.0 |
| 6 | Coastal Carolina | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.1–3.9 2–4 W | 5.3–5.7 4–6 W | 3.3 | 4.9 | 5.2 | 5.8 | 8.4 | 7.2 | 7.3 | 10 | 10 | 9.2 | 10 | 10 | 8.3 |
| 7 | Georgia St | 0–0 | 0–0 | 2.0–5.0 1–3 W | 3.8–7.2 3–5 W | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 2.9 | 3.0 | 4.4 | 6.5 | 7.0 | 8.3 | 13 | 19 | 31 |
Position columns: % of 10,000 simulated seasons finishing there. Row below cut line = P(reach championship game).
West Division
| # | Team | Conf | Overall | Proj Conf | Proj Ovr | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arkansas St | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.1–2.9 3–5 W | 6.5–5.5 5–8 W | 11 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 9.5 | 6.1 | 7.0 | 7.3 | 5.2 | 3.7 | 3.2 | 2.2 |
| 2 | Louisiana | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.1–2.9 3–5 W | 6.8–5.2 6–8 W | 10 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 9.3 | 6.3 | 7.0 | 7.6 | 4.8 | 4.3 | 4.0 | 2.9 |
| 3 | Troy | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.8–3.2 3–5 W | 6.5–5.5 5–8 W | 7.7 | 9.1 | 10 | 8.9 | 11 | 9.1 | 7.2 | 8.1 | 9.0 | 6.6 | 5.7 | 5.0 | 3.2 |
| 4 | South Alabama | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.2–3.8 2–4 W | 4.7–6.3 4–6 W | 3.1 | 5.2 | 5.5 | 6.6 | 9.2 | 8.6 | 6.8 | 10 | 11 | 8.7 | 9.1 | 9.1 | 7.5 |
| 5 | Southern Miss | 0–0 | 0–0 | 2.4–3.6 2–3 W | 4.4–6.6 3–5 W | 1.2 | 2.2 | 3.9 | 5.4 | 4.6 | 6.8 | 11 | 8.9 | 8.7 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 10 |
| 6 | UL Monroe | 0–0 | 0–0 | 1.9–4.1 1–3 W | 3.8–7.2 3–5 W | 0.4 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 2.7 | 2.6 | 4.9 | 7.7 | 6.5 | 7.9 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 19 |
Position columns: % of 10,000 simulated seasons finishing there. Row below cut line = P(reach championship game).
Finishing Position Range — Season Progression