Conference Standings
Bracketology·Conference Races·At-Large Odds·NCAA Bracket— auto-bid races, conference by conference.
Tournament Bracket
The bracket shows each seed line; teams appear as they mathematically clinch their seed, and results fill in as the tournament is played. Title odds are in the projections below.
🏟 United Athletic
Final
United Athletic Tournament Projections(8 teams · 10k simulations)
| Seed | Team | Elo | Final | 🏆 Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | W Florida | 1650 | 53% | 33% |
| 2 | Tarleton St. | 1645 | 46% | 26% |
| 3 | Abilene Christian | 1584 | 32% | 15% |
| 4 | West Ga. | 1560 | 30% | 13% |
| 5 | Austin Peay | 1526 | 19% | 7% |
| 6 | Eastern Ky. | 1491 | 16% | 5% |
| 7 | Central Ark. | 1397 | 3% | 1% |
| 8 | North Ala. | 1355 | 2% | — |
Values = P(reach that stage or further). Win = P(win conference tournament = auto NCAA bid). Seeds reflect average simulated finish position.
United Athletic Standings
2 qualify for championship gamePreseason projection · 25 games remainingStandings · Finishing Position Probabilities
| # | Team | Conf | Overall | Proj Conf | Proj Ovr | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | W Florida | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.6–2.4 4–5 W | 7.6–3.4 7–9 W | 33 | 20 | 15 | 13 | 8.0 | 6.4 | 2.9 | 1.3 |
| 2 | Tarleton St. | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.9–2.1 3–5 W | 7.6–3.4 7–9 W | 23 | 22 | 18 | 13 | 11 | 6.8 | 3.8 | 1.5 |
| 3 | Abilene Christian | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.6–2.4 3–4 W | 6.2–4.8 5–7 W | 15 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 14 | 10 | 5.9 | 2.8 |
| 4 | West Ga. | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.5–2.5 3–4 W | 6.2–4.8 5–7 W | 13 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 11 | 7.1 | 3.6 |
| 5 | Austin Peay | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.4–3.6 3–4 W | 6.1–5.9 5–7 W | 7.9 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 18 | 12 | 8.6 |
| 6 | Eastern Ky. | 0–0 | 0–0 | 2.9–3.1 2–4 W | 5.0–6.0 4–6 W | 6.3 | 9.5 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 17 | 13 | 6.9 |
| 7 | Central Ark. | 0–0 | 0–0 | 1.6–4.4 1–2 W | 3.4–7.6 2–4 W | 0.8 | 1.9 | 3.3 | 6.2 | 10 | 17 | 28 | 33 |
| 8 | North Ala. | 0–0 | 0–0 | 1.4–4.6 1–2 W | 3.3–7.7 2–4 W | 0.5 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 4.5 | 7.8 | 14 | 27 | 42 |
Position columns: % of 10,000 simulated seasons finishing there. Row below cut line = P(reach championship game).
Finishing Position Range — Season Progression
W FloridaTarleton St.Abilene ChristianWest Ga.Austin PeayEastern Ky.Central Ark.North Ala.