Conference Standings
Bracketology·Conference Races·At-Large Odds·NCAA Bracket— auto-bid races, conference by conference.
Tournament Bracket
The bracket shows each seed line; teams appear as they mathematically clinch their seed, and results fill in as the tournament is played. Title odds are in the projections below.
🏟 Atlantic 10
Quarterfinals
Semifinals
Final
Atlantic 10 Tournament Projections(10 teams · 10k simulations)
| Seed | Team | Elo | Quarters | Semis | Final | 🏆 Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dayton | 1889 | 99% | 99% | 83% | 63% |
| 2 | Loyola Chicago | 1650 | 96% | 77% | 39% | 13% |
| 3 | VCU | 1651 | 95% | 75% | 37% | 13% |
| 4 | George Washington | 1565 | 88% | 58% | 20% | 6% |
| 5 | Duquesne | 1471 | 67% | 33% | 9% | 2% |
| 6 | George Mason | 1438 | 54% | 23% | 5% | 1% |
| 7 | Davidson | 1414 | 51% | 20% | 5% | 1% |
| 8 | Saint Louis | 1363 | 34% | 11% | 2% | — |
| 9 | Fordham | 1266 | 12% | 3% | — | — |
| 10 | Rhode Island | 1147 | 2% | — | — | — |
Values = P(reach that stage or further). Win = P(win conference tournament = auto NCAA bid). Seeds reflect average simulated finish position.
Atlantic 10 Standings
6 qualify for tournamentPreseason projection · 90 games remainingStandings · Finishing Position Probabilities
| # | Team | Conf | Overall | Proj Conf | Proj Ovr | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dayton | 0–0 | 0–0 | 16.3–1.7 15–17 W | 25.4–7.6 24–27 W | 78 | 16 | 4.4 | 1.1 | 0.2 | <1 | <1 | |||
| 2 | Loyola Chicago | 0–0 | 0–0 | 12.5–5.5 11–14 W | 22.1–13.9 20–24 W | 8.2 | 31 | 26 | 17 | 9.3 | 4.7 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 0.3 | <1 |
| 3 | VCU | 0–0 | 0–0 | 12.4–5.6 11–14 W | 18.3–10.7 16–20 W | 10 | 27 | 25 | 17 | 10 | 5.6 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 0.5 | <1 |
| 4 | George Washington | 0–0 | 0–0 | 10.8–7.2 9–13 W | 17.4–12.6 15–19 W | 2.5 | 14 | 20 | 23 | 17 | 11 | 6.7 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 5 | Duquesne | 0–0 | 0–0 | 8.9–9.1 7–11 W | 17.5–13.5 15–20 W | 0.9 | 5.3 | 11 | 15 | 18 | 18 | 15 | 11 | 5.6 | 1.8 |
| 6 | George Mason | 0–0 | 0–0 | 7.9–10.1 6–10 W | 14.9–16.1 13–17 W | 0.3 | 3.1 | 6.1 | 11 | 15 | 18 | 19 | 15 | 9.5 | 2.5 |
| 7 | Davidson | 0–0 | 0–0 | 7.6–10.4 6–9 W | 11.3–18.7 9–13 W | 0.1 | 1.9 | 5.0 | 8.8 | 15 | 20 | 19 | 17 | 10 | 3.2 |
| 8 | Saint Louis | 0–0 | 0–0 | 6.4–11.6 5–8 W | 12.7–18.3 11–15 W | <1 | 0.8 | 2.4 | 5.4 | 11 | 15 | 19 | 21 | 17 | 8.8 |
| 9 | Fordham | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.6–13.4 3–6 W | 10.1–20.9 8–12 W | <1 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 3.0 | 6.8 | 12 | 21 | 33 | 22 | |
| 10 | Rhode Island | 0–0 | 0–0 | 2.6–15.4 1–4 W | 7.4–23.6 6–9 W | <1 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 3.6 | 10 | 23 | 61 |
Position columns: % of 10,000 simulated seasons finishing there. Row below cut line = P(reach tournament).
Finishing Position Range — Season Progression
DaytonLoyola ChicagoVCUGeorge WashingtonDuquesneGeorge MasonDavidsonSaint LouisFordhamRhode Island