Conference Standings

Big 12 Tournament Projections(14 teams · 10k simulations)
SeedTeamEloR1QuartersSemisFinal🏆 Win
1Arizona St.216699%98%98%84%63%
2Kansas203299%95%80%53%20%
3Baylor192299%89%56%23%6%
4BYU190999%88%49%16%4%
5Kansas St189199%71%35%10%3%
6TCU187999%70%33%8%2%
7Arizona185999%57%22%4%1%
8Utah180899%43%14%2%—
9Cincinnati172999%30%6%1%—
10UCF172899%29%5%——
11West Virginia156599%12%1%——
12Houston154499%11%1%——
13Texas Tech151599%5%———
14Oklahoma St.150099%2%———

Values = P(reach that stage or further). Win = P(win conference tournament = auto NCAA bid). Seeded by Elo.

Big 12 Standings
14 qualify for tournamentThrough 2026-06-01 · 138 games remaining

Snapshot Week

Jun 1Jun 8

Standings · Finishing Position Probabilities

#TeamConfOverallProj ConfProj Ovr1234567891011121314
1Arizona St.0–00–0
70.2–43.8
70.2–43.8
100
2Kansas0–00–0
29.9–12.1
29.9–12.1
69187.53.21.10.50.1<1<1
3Kansas St0–00–0
24.7–19.3
24.7–19.3
11272516105.82.91.20.50.1<1
4Baylor0–00–0
24.0–14.0
24.0–14.0
13272215116.23.31.40.4<1<1<1
5Utah0–00–0
21.9–24.1
21.9–24.1
2.91217201814104.82.10.70.1<1
6Arizona0–00–0
19.6–16.4
19.6–16.4
1.68.013181916127.74.31.10.30.1
7TCU0–00–0
19.2–18.8
19.2–18.8
1.86.01014171815105.32.10.6<1
8BYU0–00–0
16.8–11.2
16.8–11.2
0.11.44.710172223146.31.50.4<1
9Cincinnati0–00–0
13.3–18.7
13.3–18.7
0.20.82.44.88.1142329134.61.2
10UCF0–00–0
12.8–15.2
12.8–15.2
<10.31.53.57.9162725125.01.4
11West Virginia0–00–0
9.0–27.0
9.0–27.0
<10.10.41.12.15.513262923
12Houston0–00–0
7.7–26.3
7.7–26.3
<1<1<10.31.13.210283225
13Texas Tech0–00–0
6.8–29.2
6.8–29.2
<1<1<10.10.51.85.4152849
14Oklahoma St.0–00–0
0.0–0.0
0.0–0.0
100

Position columns: % of 10,000 simulated seasons finishing there. Row below cut line = P(reach tournament).

Finishing Position Range — Season Progression

KansasArizona St.ArizonaKansas StBaylorTCUBYUUtahUCFCincinnatiWest VirginiaHoustonTexas TechOklahoma St.
1234567891011121314Jun 1Jun 8Position