2026 Big Ten Volleyball Tournament
π Big Tenπ Fishers, Indianaπ November 20 β November 25
First Round
Second Round
Quarterfinals
Semifinals
Championship
Big Ten Tournament Projections(15 teams Β· 10k simulations)
| Seed | Team | Elo | R1 | R2 | Quarters | Semis | Final | π Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nebraska | 2357 | 99% | 99% | 99% | 95% | 84% | 61% |
| 2 | Wisconsin | 2240 | 99% | 99% | 99% | 86% | 62% | 26% |
| 3 | Purdue | 2112 | 99% | 99% | 97% | 66% | 25% | 7% |
| 4 | Southern California | 2054 | 99% | 99% | 92% | 53% | 13% | 3% |
| 5 | Penn St. | 2009 | 99% | 99% | 87% | 38% | 7% | 1% |
| 6 | Minnesota | 2006 | 99% | 99% | 83% | 31% | 6% | 1% |
| 7 | Indiana | 1957 | 99% | 97% | 70% | 16% | 2% | β |
| 8 | UCLA | 1911 | 99% | 94% | 55% | 7% | 1% | β |
| 9 | Michigan | 1883 | 98% | 91% | 46% | 5% | β | β |
| 10 | Oregon | 1851 | 97% | 86% | 34% | 2% | β | β |
| 11 | Washington | 1751 | 91% | 64% | 14% | 1% | β | β |
| 12 | Michigan St | 1737 | 88% | 57% | 10% | β | β | β |
| 13 | Illinois | 1709 | 84% | 46% | 6% | β | β | β |
| 14 | Northwestern | 1663 | 76% | 32% | 3% | β | β | β |
| 15 | Iowa | 1638 | 69% | 22% | 2% | β | β | β |
| 16 | Ohio St. | 1553 | 46% | 8% | β | β | β | β |
| 17 | Maryland | 1475 | 27% | 3% | β | β | β | β |
| 18 | Rutgers | 1465 | 25% | 2% | β | β | β | β |
Values = P(reach that stage or further). Win = P(win conference tournament = auto NCAA bid). Seeded by Elo.
Big Ten Standings
15 qualify for tournamentThrough 2026-06-01 Β· 156 games remainingStandings Β· Finishing Position Probabilities
| # | Team | Conf | Overall | Proj Conf | Proj Ovr | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nebraska | 0β0 | 0β0 | 35.5β6.5 | 35.5β6.5 | 91 | 7.7 | 1.1 | 0.2 | <1 | <1 | ||||||||||||
| 2 | Wisconsin | 0β0 | 0β0 | 28.9β5.1 | 28.9β5.1 | 6.0 | 57 | 22 | 9.3 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 | <1 | |||||||||
| 3 | Purdue | 0β0 | 0β0 | 27.1β8.9 | 27.1β8.9 | 2.5 | 19 | 31 | 20 | 12 | 7.6 | 4.5 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.4 | <1 | <1 | ||||||
| 4 | Southern California | 0β0 | 0β0 | 24.2β9.8 | 24.2β9.8 | 0.3 | 8.1 | 19 | 22 | 19 | 13 | 9.0 | 5.1 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | <1 | <1 | ||||
| 5 | Minnesota | 0β0 | 0β0 | 22.7β11.3 | 22.7β11.3 | <1 | 3.8 | 10 | 16 | 19 | 17 | 13 | 10 | 5.9 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | |||||
| 6 | Penn St. | 0β0 | 0β0 | 22.4β11.6 | 22.4β11.6 | 0.1 | 2.7 | 9.1 | 14 | 18 | 18 | 14 | 11 | 7.0 | 3.6 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | <1 | <1 | ||
| 7 | Indiana | 0β0 | 0β0 | 21.7β14.3 | 21.7β14.3 | <1 | 1.3 | 4.5 | 8.8 | 12 | 15 | 17 | 15 | 12 | 8.2 | 3.8 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.2 | <1 | <1 | <1 | |
| 8 | UCLA | 0β0 | 0β0 | 19.5β14.5 | 19.5β14.5 | <1 | 0.6 | 2.3 | 5.3 | 8.7 | 12 | 15 | 17 | 15 | 11 | 6.3 | 3.1 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.4 | <1 | <1 | |
| 9 | Michigan | 0β0 | 0β0 | 18.2β15.8 | 18.2β15.8 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 5.2 | 8.8 | 12 | 17 | 18 | 15 | 10 | 5.9 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | <1 | <1 | |
| 10 | Oregon | 0β0 | 0β0 | 17.0β17.0 | 17.0β17.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 2.5 | 5.3 | 9.0 | 14 | 18 | 20 | 14 | 8.4 | 5.0 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.3 | <1 | <1 | |
| 11 | Washington | 0β0 | 0β0 | 13.3β20.7 | 13.3β20.7 | <1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 3.2 | 7.1 | 11 | 18 | 19 | 16 | 11 | 7.0 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | ||
| 12 | Michigan St | 0β0 | 0β0 | 13.0β21.0 | 13.0β21.0 | <1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 1.7 | 3.3 | 6.3 | 11 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 13 | 7.9 | 4.2 | 1.6 | 0.5 | ||
| 13 | Illinois | 0β0 | 0β0 | 12.0β22.0 | 12.0β22.0 | <1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 2.2 | 4.3 | 8.0 | 13 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 11 | 6.5 | 3.0 | 1.1 | |||
| 14 | Northwestern | 0β0 | 0β0 | 10.4β23.6 | 10.4β23.6 | <1 | <1 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 4.7 | 8.2 | 13 | 17 | 19 | 17 | 11 | 5.6 | 2.6 | ||||
| 15 | Iowa | 0β0 | 0β0 | 9.4β24.6 | 9.4β24.6 | <1 | <1 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 5.4 | 8.8 | 14 | 19 | 20 | 15 | 9.4 | 4.5 | |||||
| 16 | Ohio St. | 0β0 | 0β0 | 7.0β27.0 | 7.0β27.0 | <1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 3.0 | 5.7 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 22 | 14 | |||||||
| 17 | Maryland | 0β0 | 0β0 | 5.0β29.0 | 5.0β29.0 | <1 | <1 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 4.8 | 10 | 17 | 29 | 37 | ||||||||
| 18 | Rutgers | 0β0 | 0β0 | 4.8β29.2 | 4.8β29.2 | <1 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 3.7 | 8.2 | 16 | 29 | 40 |
Position columns: % of 10,000 simulated seasons finishing there. Row below cut line = P(reach tournament).
Finishing Position Range β Season Progression
NebraskaWisconsinMichiganPurdueSouthern CaliforniaMinnesotaIndianaPenn St.UCLAOregonWashingtonIllinoisMichigan StNorthwesternIowaOhio St.MarylandRutgers