2026 Horizon League Volleyball Tournament
Bracketology·Conference Races·At-Large Odds·NCAA Bracket— auto-bid races, conference by conference.
Reflects results through the preseason. Seeds appear as they clinch; matchups and winners as games are played.
🏟 Horizon
First Round
Semifinals
Championship
Horizon Tournament Projections(11 teams · 10k simulations)
| Seed | Team | Elo | Quarters | Semis | Final | 🏆 Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wright St. | 1651 | 99% | 91% | 65% | 40% |
| 2 | Northern Ky. | 1612 | 97% | 86% | 57% | 32% |
| 3 | Milwaukee | 1444 | 75% | 48% | 19% | 8% |
| 4 | IU Indy | 1444 | 77% | 49% | 19% | 7% |
| 5 | Youngstown St. | 1407 | 78% | 47% | 17% | 6% |
| 6 | Green Bay | 1401 | 64% | 36% | 13% | 5% |
| 7 | Northern Illinois | 1310 | 32% | 14% | 4% | 1% |
| 8 | Cleveland St. | 1238 | 25% | 9% | 2% | 1% |
| 9 | Oakland | 1253 | 24% | 9% | 2% | 1% |
| 10 | Robert Morris | 1232 | 26% | 10% | 2% | 1% |
| 11 | Purdue Fort Wayne | 1092 | 3% | 1% | — | — |
Values = P(reach that stage or further). Win = P(win conference tournament = auto NCAA bid). Seeds reflect average simulated finish position.
Horizon Standings
6 qualify for tournamentPreseason projection · 88 games remainingStandings · Finishing Position Probabilities
| # | Team | Conf | Overall | Proj Conf | Proj Ovr | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wright St. | 0–0 | 0–0 | 12.9–3.1 12–14 W | 18.3–10.7 17–20 W | 46 | 27 | 13 | 7.3 | 3.6 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | <1 | |
| 2 | Northern Ky. | 0–0 | 0–0 | 12.2–3.8 11–14 W | 19.0–10.0 17–21 W | 33 | 29 | 17 | 10 | 5.6 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | <1 |
| 3 | Youngstown St. | 0–0 | 0–0 | 9.6–6.4 8–11 W | 15.5–13.5 13–18 W | 4.9 | 12 | 18 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 8.2 | 6.0 | 4.3 | 2.4 | 0.9 |
| 4 | IU Indy | 0–0 | 0–0 | 9.3–6.7 8–11 W | 14.9–16.1 13–17 W | 6.3 | 11 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 13 | 9.4 | 6.4 | 4.0 | 2.3 | 0.9 |
| 5 | Milwaukee | 0–0 | 0–0 | 9.2–6.8 7–11 W | 13.4–16.6 11–15 W | 5.6 | 10 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 13 | 10 | 6.7 | 4.6 | 2.4 | 0.9 |
| 6 | Green Bay | 0–0 | 0–0 | 8.3–7.7 7–10 W | 15.0–14.0 13–17 W | 3.0 | 6.8 | 10 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 7.2 | 4.4 | 1.6 |
| 7 | Northern Illinois | 0–0 | 0–0 | 6.2–9.8 4–8 W | 12.2–15.8 10–14 W | 0.5 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 5.9 | 8.8 | 11 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 7.1 |
| 8 | Robert Morris | 0–0 | 0–0 | 6.0–10.0 4–8 W | 9.9–18.1 8–12 W | 0.3 | 1.1 | 2.7 | 4.8 | 6.8 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 10 |
| 9 | Cleveland St. | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5.8–10.2 4–7 W | 11.0–18.0 9–13 W | 0.2 | 1.2 | 2.9 | 4.3 | 6.9 | 10 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 13 |
| 10 | Oakland | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5.5–10.5 4–7 W | 8.7–20.3 7–11 W | 0.3 | 1.3 | 2.7 | 4.4 | 6.3 | 8.9 | 11 | 15 | 17 | 19 | 14 |
| 11 | Purdue Fort Wayne | 0–0 | 0–0 | 2.9–13.1 1–4 W | 7.7–23.3 6–9 W | <1 | <1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 3.5 | 6.4 | 12 | 23 | 52 |
Position columns: % of 10,000 simulated seasons finishing there. Row below cut line = P(reach tournament).
Finishing Position Range — Season Progression
Wright St.Northern Ky.Youngstown St.IU IndyMilwaukeeGreen BayNorthern IllinoisRobert MorrisCleveland St.OaklandPurdue Fort Wayne