2026 MAC Volleyball Championship
Bracketology·Conference Races·At-Large Odds·NCAA Bracket— auto-bid races, conference by conference.
Reflects results through the preseason. Seeds appear as they clinch; matchups and winners as games are played.
🏟 MAC
First Round
Semifinals
Championship
MAC Tournament Projections(11 teams · 10k simulations)
| Seed | Team | Elo | Quarters | Semis | Final | 🏆 Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ball State | 1727 | 97% | 87% | 60% | 38% |
| 2 | W Michigan | 1618 | 89% | 68% | 35% | 17% |
| 3 | Toledo | 1616 | 85% | 64% | 34% | 17% |
| 4 | Bowling Green | 1582 | 83% | 58% | 28% | 12% |
| 5 | Ohio | 1532 | 69% | 42% | 18% | 8% |
| 6 | Akron | 1486 | 67% | 36% | 14% | 5% |
| 7 | Miami (OH) | 1419 | 37% | 17% | 5% | 2% |
| 8 | C Michigan | 1360 | 30% | 11% | 3% | 1% |
| 9 | E Michigan | 1328 | 24% | 9% | 2% | 1% |
| 10 | Buffalo | 1330 | 18% | 7% | 2% | 1% |
| 11 | Kent State | 1151 | 1% | — | — | — |
Values = P(reach that stage or further). Win = P(win conference tournament = auto NCAA bid). Seeds reflect average simulated finish position.
MAC Standings
6 qualify for tournamentPreseason projection · 89 games remainingStandings · Finishing Position Probabilities
| # | Team | Conf | Overall | Proj Conf | Proj Ovr | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ball State | 0–0 | 0–0 | 12.5–3.5 11–14 W | 18.5–9.5 17–20 W | 43 | 23 | 14 | 8.6 | 5.3 | 2.9 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | <1 |
| 2 | W Michigan | 0–0 | 0–0 | 10.8–5.2 9–13 W | 19.8–11.2 18–22 W | 16 | 20 | 18 | 15 | 12 | 8.1 | 5.1 | 3.2 | 1.9 | 0.8 | <1 |
| 3 | Toledo | 0–0 | 0–0 | 11.0–6.0 9–13 W | 18.3–12.7 16–20 W | 17 | 17 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 9.3 | 6.6 | 4.3 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 4 | Bowling Green | 0–0 | 0–0 | 10.7–6.3 9–13 W | 16.0–13.0 14–18 W | 13 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 13 | 10 | 7.3 | 5.0 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 5 | Ohio | 0–0 | 0–0 | 8.9–7.1 7–11 W | 15.9–13.1 14–18 W | 5.6 | 9.5 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 9.0 | 6.2 | 3.2 | 0.8 |
| 6 | Akron | 0–0 | 0–0 | 8.9–7.1 7–11 W | 15.1–13.9 13–17 W | 3.9 | 8.8 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 6.6 | 3.8 | 1.3 |
| 7 | Miami (OH) | 0–0 | 0–0 | 6.7–9.3 5–8 W | 14.8–14.2 13–17 W | 1.0 | 2.2 | 4.5 | 6.9 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 17 | 16 | 11 | 4.9 |
| 8 | C Michigan | 0–0 | 0–0 | 6.3–9.7 5–8 W | 10.2–18.8 8–12 W | 0.5 | 1.4 | 3.0 | 5.1 | 8.3 | 11 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 6.2 |
| 9 | E Michigan | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5.8–10.2 4–8 W | 11.5–21.5 9–13 W | 0.4 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 3.8 | 7.1 | 9.4 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 18 | 12 |
| 10 | Buffalo | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5.2–10.8 3–7 W | 11.3–17.7 9–13 W | 0.2 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 2.9 | 4.8 | 7.8 | 11 | 15 | 20 | 24 | 12 |
| 11 | Kent State | 0–0 | 0–0 | 2.4–13.6 1–3 W | 6.9–24.1 5–8 W | <1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 4.3 | 8.8 | 21 | 62 |
Position columns: % of 10,000 simulated seasons finishing there. Row below cut line = P(reach tournament).
Finishing Position Range — Season Progression
Ball StateW MichiganToledoBowling GreenOhioAkronMiami (OH)C MichiganE MichiganBuffaloKent State