2026 Mountain West Volleyball Championship
Bracketology·Conference Races·At-Large Odds·NCAA Bracket— auto-bid races, conference by conference.
Reflects results through the preseason. Seeds appear as they clinch; matchups and winners as games are played.
🏟 Mountain West
Quarterfinals
Semifinals
Championship
Mountain West Tournament Projections(10 teams · 10k simulations)
| Seed | Team | Elo | Quarters | Semis | Final | 🏆 Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UTEP | 1881 | 99% | 95% | 72% | 46% |
| 2 | UC Davis | 1813 | 99% | 88% | 58% | 29% |
| 3 | Wyoming | 1682 | 88% | 63% | 26% | 10% |
| 4 | Hawai'i | 1589 | 73% | 41% | 12% | 4% |
| 5 | Grand Canyon | 1588 | 69% | 39% | 12% | 4% |
| 6 | San José St | 1540 | 50% | 24% | 7% | 2% |
| 7 | UNLV | 1521 | 49% | 22% | 6% | 2% |
| 8 | New Mexico | 1465 | 31% | 12% | 3% | 1% |
| 9 | Air Force | 1459 | 32% | 12% | 3% | 1% |
| 10 | Nevada | 1353 | 9% | 3% | 1% | — |
Values = P(reach that stage or further). Win = P(win conference tournament = auto NCAA bid). Seeds reflect average simulated finish position.
Mountain West Standings
6 qualify for tournamentPreseason projection · 90 games remainingStandings · Finishing Position Probabilities
| # | Team | Conf | Overall | Proj Conf | Proj Ovr | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UTEP | 0–0 | 0–0 | 15.0–3.0 14–17 W | 24.9–7.1 23–27 W | 55 | 27 | 11 | 4.3 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 | <1 | <1 | |
| 2 | UC Davis | 0–0 | 0–0 | 13.8–4.2 12–15 W | 19.1–10.9 17–21 W | 29 | 36 | 18 | 9.0 | 4.3 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | <1 |
| 3 | Wyoming | 0–0 | 0–0 | 11.2–6.8 9–13 W | 17.7–12.3 15–20 W | 9.0 | 16 | 24 | 18 | 12 | 8.6 | 5.3 | 3.7 | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| 4 | Hawai'i | 0–0 | 0–0 | 9.3–8.7 7–11 W | 14.5–16.5 12–17 W | 1.8 | 6.1 | 14 | 18 | 18 | 15 | 11 | 8.3 | 4.8 | 2.1 |
| 5 | Grand Canyon | 0–0 | 0–0 | 9.1–8.9 7–11 W | 14.2–15.8 12–16 W | 2.6 | 6.8 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 12 | 8.9 | 6.9 | 3.5 |
| 6 | San José St | 0–0 | 0–0 | 7.7–10.3 5–10 W | 14.8–15.2 12–17 W | 1.1 | 3.5 | 7.0 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 8.2 |
| 7 | UNLV | 0–0 | 0–0 | 7.5–10.5 6–9 W | 13.4–18.6 11–16 W | 0.5 | 2.4 | 5.8 | 10 | 14 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 12 | 6.9 |
| 8 | Air Force | 0–0 | 0–0 | 6.3–11.7 4–8 W | 10.1–19.9 8–12 W | 0.3 | 0.9 | 2.9 | 5.8 | 9.3 | 12 | 16 | 19 | 20 | 14 |
| 9 | New Mexico | 0–0 | 0–0 | 6.2–11.8 4–8 W | 9.1–17.9 7–11 W | 0.1 | 1.1 | 3.3 | 6.1 | 8.6 | 12 | 15 | 18 | 20 | 15 |
| 10 | Nevada | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.8–14.2 2–5 W | 7.2–20.8 5–9 W | <1 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 4.5 | 7.4 | 12 | 22 | 50 |
Position columns: % of 10,000 simulated seasons finishing there. Row below cut line = P(reach tournament).
Finishing Position Range — Season Progression
UTEPUC DavisWyomingHawai'iGrand CanyonSan José StUNLVAir ForceNew MexicoNevada