2026 OVC Volleyball Tournament
Bracketology·Conference Races·At-Large Odds·NCAA Bracket— auto-bid races, conference by conference.
Reflects results through the preseason. Seeds appear as they clinch; matchups and winners as games are played.
🏟 Ohio Valley
Quarterfinals
Semifinals
Championship
Ohio Valley Tournament Projections(9 teams · 10k simulations)
| Seed | Team | Elo | Quarters | Semis | Final | 🏆 Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eastern Ill. | 1623 | 99% | 90% | 62% | 37% |
| 2 | Morehead St. | 1565 | 99% | 87% | 53% | 29% |
| 3 | Southeast Mo. St. | 1501 | 99% | 76% | 36% | 16% |
| 4 | Southern Ind. | 1482 | 99% | 73% | 33% | 14% |
| 5 | Lindenwood | 1323 | 99% | 35% | 9% | 3% |
| 6 | SIUE | 1233 | 98% | 20% | 4% | 1% |
| 7 | Western Ill. | 1159 | 94% | 14% | 2% | — |
| 8 | UT Martin | 1052 | 73% | 4% | 1% | — |
| 9 | Tennessee St. | 902 | 35% | 1% | — | — |
Values = P(reach that stage or further). Win = P(win conference tournament = auto NCAA bid). Seeds reflect average simulated finish position.
Ohio Valley Standings
8 qualify for tournamentPreseason projection · 72 games remainingStandings · Finishing Position Probabilities
| # | Team | Conf | Overall | Proj Conf | Proj Ovr | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eastern Ill. | 0–0 | 0–0 | 13.0–3.0 12–14 W | 18.4–11.6 17–20 W | 42 | 29 | 17 | 9.1 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.1 | <1 | |
| 2 | Morehead St. | 0–0 | 0–0 | 12.4–3.6 11–14 W | 18.7–9.3 17–20 W | 32 | 28 | 20 | 13 | 4.9 | 1.3 | 0.2 | <1 | <1 |
| 3 | Southeast Mo. St. | 0–0 | 0–0 | 11.2–4.8 10–13 W | 19.1–10.9 17–21 W | 14 | 20 | 26 | 24 | 11 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 0.2 | <1 |
| 4 | Southern Ind. | 0–0 | 0–0 | 10.8–5.2 9–12 W | 17.7–11.3 16–20 W | 11 | 19 | 25 | 25 | 14 | 5.1 | 1.7 | 0.3 | <1 |
| 5 | Lindenwood | 0–0 | 0–0 | 7.9–8.1 6–9 W | 13.2–16.8 11–15 W | 0.9 | 3.2 | 8.0 | 17 | 32 | 22 | 12 | 4.1 | 0.7 |
| 6 | SIUE | 0–0 | 0–0 | 6.4–9.6 5–8 W | 13.6–18.4 12–15 W | 0.3 | 0.8 | 2.8 | 7.3 | 19 | 32 | 26 | 10 | 2.1 |
| 7 | Western Ill. | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5.4–10.6 4–7 W | 7.4–20.6 6–9 W | <1 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 4.0 | 13 | 25 | 33 | 17 | 5.9 |
| 8 | UT Martin | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.2–12.8 2–4 W | 8.2–18.8 7–10 W | <1 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 7.9 | 20 | 43 | 27 | |
| 9 | Tennessee St. | 0–0 | 0–0 | 1.8–14.2 1–3 W | 3.0–26.0 2–4 W | <1 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 7.0 | 26 | 65 |
Position columns: % of 10,000 simulated seasons finishing there. Row below cut line = P(reach tournament).
Finishing Position Range — Season Progression
Eastern Ill.Morehead St.Southeast Mo. St.Southern Ind.LindenwoodSIUEWestern Ill.UT MartinTennessee St.