Conference Standings
Bracketology·Conference Races·At-Large Odds·NCAA Bracket— auto-bid races, conference by conference.
Tournament Bracket
The bracket shows each seed line; teams appear as they mathematically clinch their seed, and results fill in as the tournament is played. Title odds are in the projections below.
🏟 Pac-12
Semifinals
Final
Pac-12 Tournament Projections(9 teams · 10k simulations)
| Seed | Team | Elo | Semis | Final | 🏆 Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Utah State | 1959 | 97% | 74% | 51% |
| 2 | Colorado St | 1792 | 77% | 39% | 16% |
| 3 | Texas St. | 1786 | 77% | 38% | 16% |
| 4 | Boise St | 1694 | 51% | 18% | 6% |
| 5 | Oregon St. | 1688 | 48% | 17% | 6% |
| 6 | Washington St. | 1628 | 28% | 8% | 3% |
| 7 | San Diego St | 1587 | 19% | 6% | 2% |
| 8 | Fresno St | 1374 | 1% | — | — |
| 9 | Gonzaga | 1367 | 1% | — | — |
Values = P(reach that stage or further). Win = P(win conference tournament = auto NCAA bid). Seeds reflect average simulated finish position.
Pac-12 Standings
4 qualify for tournamentPreseason projection · 72 games remainingStandings · Finishing Position Probabilities
| # | Team | Conf | Overall | Proj Conf | Proj Ovr | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Utah State | 0–0 | 0–0 | 13.4–2.6 12–15 W | 18.5–5.5 17–20 W | 62 | 22 | 8.9 | 4.5 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 | <1 | |
| 2 | Colorado St | 0–0 | 0–0 | 10.6–5.4 9–12 W | 17.5–11.5 16–20 W | 14 | 24 | 23 | 17 | 11 | 7.3 | 3.3 | 0.9 | 0.1 |
| 3 | Texas St. | 0–0 | 0–0 | 10.6–5.4 9–12 W | 20.1–8.9 18–22 W | 13 | 24 | 22 | 17 | 12 | 7.0 | 3.5 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 4 | Boise St | 0–0 | 0–0 | 8.9–7.1 7–11 W | 18.5–10.5 17–21 W | 4.7 | 11 | 16 | 19 | 19 | 16 | 10 | 3.2 | 1.0 |
| 5 | Oregon St. | 0–0 | 0–0 | 8.7–7.3 7–10 W | 15.7–13.3 14–18 W | 3.9 | 11 | 15 | 18 | 20 | 16 | 11 | 4.0 | 1.0 |
| 6 | Washington St. | 0–0 | 0–0 | 7.4–8.6 6–9 W | 14.2–12.8 12–16 W | 1.4 | 4.8 | 8.9 | 13 | 19 | 21 | 20 | 8.5 | 2.7 |
| 7 | San Diego St | 0–0 | 0–0 | 6.6–9.4 5–8 W | 10.6–15.4 9–12 W | 0.8 | 2.9 | 5.9 | 10 | 15 | 22 | 26 | 13 | 5.1 |
| 8 | Fresno St | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.0–13.0 2–4 W | 7.4–20.6 6–9 W | <1 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 5.0 | 13 | 36 | 44 | |
| 9 | Gonzaga | 0–0 | 0–0 | 2.9–13.1 2–4 W | 10.6–19.4 9–12 W | <1 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1.7 | 4.5 | 13 | 34 | 46 |
Position columns: % of 10,000 simulated seasons finishing there. Row below cut line = P(reach tournament).
Finishing Position Range — Season Progression
Utah StateColorado StTexas St.Boise StOregon St.Washington St.San Diego StFresno StGonzaga