2026 SoCon Volleyball Tournament
Bracketology·Conference Races·At-Large Odds·NCAA Bracket— auto-bid races, conference by conference.
Reflects results through the preseason. Seeds appear as they clinch; matchups and winners as games are played.
🏟 Southern
Play-In
Quarterfinals
Semifinals
Championship
Southern Tournament Projections(10 teams · 10k simulations)
| Seed | Team | Elo | R1 | Quarters | Semis | Final | 🏆 Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ETSU | 1700 | 99% | 99% | 84% | 61% | 40% |
| 2 | Wofford | 1624 | 99% | 99% | 75% | 46% | 24% |
| 3 | Furman | 1540 | 99% | 98% | 61% | 28% | 13% |
| 4 | Samford | 1473 | 99% | 95% | 45% | 18% | 8% |
| 5 | UNC Greensboro | 1433 | 99% | 92% | 35% | 12% | 5% |
| 6 | Chattanooga | 1435 | 98% | 91% | 36% | 13% | 5% |
| 7 | Tennessee Tech | 1418 | 98% | 89% | 33% | 12% | 4% |
| 8 | Mercer | 1390 | 98% | 85% | 25% | 8% | 3% |
| 9 | Western Caro. | 1208 | 74% | 37% | 5% | 1% | — |
| 10 | The Citadel | 1083 | 34% | 12% | 1% | — | — |
Values = P(reach that stage or further). Win = P(win conference tournament = auto NCAA bid). Seeds reflect average simulated finish position.
Southern Standings
9 qualify for tournamentPreseason projection · 90 games remainingStandings · Finishing Position Probabilities
| # | Team | Conf | Overall | Proj Conf | Proj Ovr | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ETSU | 0–0 | 0–0 | 14.6–3.4 13–16 W | 22.5–8.5 21–24 W | 52 | 24 | 12 | 5.8 | 3.1 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.3 | <1 | |
| 2 | Wofford | 0–0 | 0–0 | 13.1–4.9 12–15 W | 20.5–10.5 19–23 W | 25 | 28 | 19 | 12 | 7.4 | 4.6 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 0.3 | <1 |
| 3 | Furman | 0–0 | 0–0 | 11.4–6.6 10–13 W | 18.4–12.6 16–21 W | 10 | 18 | 21 | 17 | 14 | 9.3 | 6.7 | 3.5 | 1.4 | 0.2 |
| 4 | Samford | 0–0 | 0–0 | 10.1–7.9 8–12 W | 15.3–14.7 13–18 W | 5.6 | 10 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 13 | 12 | 8.2 | 3.4 | 0.9 |
| 5 | Chattanooga | 0–0 | 0–0 | 9.0–9.0 7–11 W | 18.5–14.5 16–21 W | 2.8 | 5.8 | 10 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 6.2 | 1.7 |
| 6 | UNC Greensboro | 0–0 | 0–0 | 8.9–9.1 7–11 W | 14.4–15.6 12–17 W | 2.1 | 5.1 | 10 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 13 | 5.8 | 1.2 |
| 7 | Tennessee Tech | 0–0 | 0–0 | 8.6–9.4 7–11 W | 14.0–14.0 12–16 W | 2.0 | 5.3 | 8.5 | 12 | 14 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 7.2 | 1.5 |
| 8 | Mercer | 0–0 | 0–0 | 7.8–10.2 6–10 W | 15.6–15.4 13–18 W | 0.8 | 2.8 | 5.7 | 9.2 | 13 | 17 | 19 | 20 | 11 | 2.4 |
| 9 | Western Caro. | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.2–13.8 2–6 W | 7.9–23.1 6–10 W | <1 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 3.9 | 8.2 | 18 | 40 | 26 |
| 10 | The Citadel | 0–0 | 0–0 | 2.4–15.6 1–3 W | 6.6–23.4 5–8 W | <1 | <1 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 2.1 | 6.6 | 25 | 66 |
Position columns: % of 10,000 simulated seasons finishing there. Row below cut line = P(reach tournament).
Finishing Position Range — Season Progression
ETSUWoffordFurmanSamfordChattanoogaUNC GreensboroTennessee TechMercerWestern Caro.The Citadel