Conference Standings

Sun Belt Tournament Projections(13 teams · 10k simulations)
SeedTeamEloR1QuartersSemisFinal🏆 Win
1Arkansas St180099%99%99%77%46%
2James Madison179099%96%81%55%30%
3Coastal Carolina167799%85%56%22%8%
4GA Southern165799%76%43%15%6%
5South Alabama163499%65%34%11%4%
6Georgia St162299%62%30%9%3%
7App State156499%53%18%4%1%
8Louisiana154599%47%14%3%1%
9Southern Miss153099%38%11%2%1%
10Troy152199%35%8%2%—
11Marshall146199%24%4%1%—
12Old Dominion138599%15%1%——
13UL Monroe121599%4%———

Values = P(reach that stage or further). Win = P(win conference tournament = auto NCAA bid). Seeded by Elo.

Sun Belt Standings
13 qualify for tournamentThrough 2026-06-01 · 65 games remaining

Snapshot Week

Jun 1

Standings · Finishing Position Probabilities

#TeamConfOverallProj ConfProj Ovr12345678910111213
1James Madison0–00–0
23.1–8.9
23.1–8.9
77154.51.90.90.40.1<1<1<1
2GA Southern0–00–0
17.4–14.6
17.4–14.6
13321813106.84.52.00.80.1<1
3Arkansas St0–00–0
14.5–5.5
14.5–5.5
2.217252216104.82.30.70.1
4App State0–00–0
15.4–16.6
15.4–16.6
4.618181614128.96.22.50.60.2<1
5South Alabama0–00–0
14.0–12.0
14.0–12.0
2.81115161615128.03.30.4<1
6Coastal Carolina0–00–0
11.5–8.5
11.5–8.5
0.43.08.814182017115.91.20.40.2
7Troy0–00–0
10.8–13.2
10.8–13.2
0.22.14.98.213162120112.70.60.3
8Louisiana0–00–0
10.6–13.4
10.6–13.4
0.12.25.28.411152021122.60.90.4
9Georgia St0–00–0
6.3–7.7
6.3–7.7
<1<10.61.64.0112133178.63.6
10Marshall0–00–0
3.0–9.0
3.0–9.0
<1<10.20.94.917352517
11Old Dominion0–00–0
2.1–9.9
2.1–9.9
0.21.39.2253430
12UL Monroe0–00–0
1.4–10.6
1.4–10.6
<10.21.14.6153148
13Southern Miss0–00–0
0.0–0.0
0.0–0.0
100

Position columns: % of 10,000 simulated seasons finishing there. Row below cut line = P(reach tournament).

Finishing Position Range — Season Progression

James MadisonGA SouthernArkansas StApp StateSouth AlabamaCoastal CarolinaTroyLouisianaGeorgia StMarshallOld DominionUL MonroeSouthern Miss
12345678910111213Jun 1Position