Conference Standings

Bracketology·Conference Races·At-Large Odds·NCAA Bracket— auto-bid races, conference by conference.

Conference

Snapshot Week

As of Preseason

Tournament Bracket

The bracket shows each seed line; teams appear as they mathematically clinch their seed, and results fill in as the tournament is played. Title odds are in the projections below.

🏟 Sun Belt

First Round

W8TBD

W9TBD

E7TBD

W10TBD

Quarterfinals

W1TBD

TBD

E4TBD

W5TBD

E2TBD

TBD

E3TBD

E6TBD

Semifinals

TBD

Final

TBD

Sun Belt Tournament Projections(14 teams · 10k simulations)

Seed	Team	Elo	R1	Quarters	Semis	Final	🏆 Win
1	Arkansas St	1805	99%	98%	73%	48%	29%
2	James Madison	1792	98%	94%	67%	43%	26%
3	Coastal Carolina	1680	94%	85%	48%	24%	11%
4	GA Southern	1658	86%	72%	36%	18%	9%
5	South Alabama	1638	93%	79%	39%	18%	8%
6	Georgia St	1621	87%	73%	34%	14%	6%
7	App State	1566	76%	59%	23%	9%	3%
8	Louisiana	1547	82%	60%	23%	8%	3%
9	Southern Miss	1531	84%	63%	23%	8%	3%
10	Troy	1524	80%	57%	19%	6%	2%
11	Marshall	1460	54%	33%	9%	3%	1%
12	Old Dominion	1384	46%	21%	4%	1%	—
13	UL Monroe	1214	12%	4%	—	—	—
14	Louisiana Tech	1214	9%	3%	—	—	—

Values = P(reach that stage or further). Win = P(win conference tournament = auto NCAA bid). Seeds reflect average simulated finish position.

Sun Belt Standings

Division winner qualifies for championship gamePreseason projection · 113 games remaining

Standings · Finishing Position Probabilities

East Division

#	Team	Conf	Overall	Proj Conf	Proj Ovr	1	2	3	4	5	6	7
1	James Madison	0–0	0–0	11.5–4.5 10–13 W	19.9–8.1 18–22 W	24	19	15	11	8.9	6.8	4.8	3.6	2.4	1.6	1.1	0.6	0.2	<1
2	Coastal Carolina	0–0	0–0	10.3–5.7 9–12 W	17.4–10.6 15–20 W	10	15	14	13	11	8.9	7.7	6.0	5.4	3.9	2.8	2.0	0.9	0.1
3	Georgia St	0–0	0–0	9.6–7.4 8–12 W	17.7–11.3 16–20 W	5.1	8.5	9.4	10	11	10	10	8.9	7.9	6.9	5.6	4.3	2.0	0.7
4	GA Southern	0–0	0–0	8.7–7.3 7–11 W	16.9–13.1 15–19 W	5.7	6.7	8.4	8.8	9.4	10	10	9.4	9.3	7.8	6.4	4.9	2.5	0.6
5	App State	0–0	0–0	7.8–8.2 6–10 W	17.3–14.7 15–20 W	1.9	4.3	6.0	7.6	8.2	9.2	10	10	10	10	9.1	8.1	4.7	1.8
6	Marshall	0–0	0–0	6.1–9.9 4–8 W	12.1–15.9 10–14 W	0.5	1.2	2.1	3.1	3.9	5.2	7.3	8.7	10	12	14	15	12	5.5
7	Old Dominion	0–0	0–0	5.6–10.4 4–7 W	10.7–15.3 9–13 W	0.1	0.3	0.9	1.4	2.1	3.9	5.0	7.7	10	14	16	16	14	8.3

Position columns: % of 10,000 simulated seasons finishing there. Row below cut line = P(reach tournament).

West Division

#	Team	Conf	Overall	Proj Conf	Proj Ovr	1	2	3	4	5	6	7
1	Arkansas St	0–0	0–0	12.6–3.4 11–14 W	20.3–8.7 19–22 W	39	22	13	9.0	6.0	4.0	2.6	1.7	1.0	0.5	0.3	0.1	<1
2	South Alabama	0–0	0–0	10.0–7.0 8–12 W	16.7–12.3 15–19 W	6.2	8.9	11	12	11	11	10	8.9	7.5	6.0	4.1	2.2	1.0	0.2
3	Southern Miss	0–0	0–0	8.6–7.4 7–11 W	17.1–11.9 15–19 W	3.7	6.1	7.5	8.8	10	11	10	10	9.1	8.4	7.3	4.7	2.7	1.1
4	Louisiana	0–0	0–0	8.2–7.8 6–10 W	14.7–14.3 13–17 W	2.4	4.3	6.6	7.6	10	10	11	11	10	9.3	8.6	6.0	2.8	1.0
5	Troy	0–0	0–0	7.9–8.1 6–10 W	13.9–12.1 12–16 W	1.6	3.5	5.3	7.4	8.9	10	10	11	12	11	8.9	5.9	3.5	1.3
6	UL Monroe	0–0	0–0	3.2–12.8 2–4 W	10.4–20.6 9–12 W		<1	<1	0.1	0.3	0.5	1.1	1.6	2.7	5.5	8.6	16	28	36
7	Louisiana Tech	0–0	0–0	2.9–13.1 1–4 W	11.7–21.3 10–13 W		<1	<1	<1	0.2	0.4	0.7	1.4	2.1	3.8	7.6	14	26	44

Position columns: % of 10,000 simulated seasons finishing there. Row below cut line = P(reach tournament).

Finishing Position Range — Season Progression

Arkansas StJames MadisonCoastal CarolinaSouth AlabamaGeorgia StGA SouthernSouthern MissLouisianaTroyApp StateMarshallOld DominionUL MonroeLouisiana Tech