Schedule Strength

Preseason projection vs. actual strength of schedule — 2025

Preseason projectionActual results

348 teams · ranked by avg opponent Elo

#	Team	Conf	SOS	ΔSOS	Opp W%	Rec	vs Proj	Conf	Elo	ΔElo
1	Texas	SEC	1937	+42	65%	26-4	+4.6	15-3	2225	+133	▸
2	Kentucky	SEC	1903	+29	63%	30-3	+5.9	18-1	2319	+233	▸
3	Nebraska	Big Ten	1878	+49	62%	33-1	+3.7	20-0	2384	+116	▸
4	Washington	Big Ten	1874	+47	63%	13-17	−0.2	8-12	1772	+2	▸
5	Texas A&M	SEC	1873	+21	63%	29-4	+9.1	16-2	2269	+342	▸
6	Penn St.	Big Ten	1873	+34	61%	19-13	−8.8	12-8	2032	−258	▸
7	Pitt	ACC	1872	+34	63%	30-5	−0.1	18-2	2292	+23	▸
8	Illinois	Big Ten	1871	+84	62%	13-16	−1.7	8-12	1728	−37	▸
9	Florida	SEC	1866	+34	61%	16-12	−1.6	10-7	1928	−13	▸
10	Louisville	ACC	1861	+32	62%	26-7	−1.7	16-4	2164	−51	▸
11	Wisconsin	Big Ten	1861	+41	60%	28-5	+1.5	17-3	2264	+104	▸
12	Minnesota	Big Ten	1859	+49	63%	24-10	+2.3	12-8	2027	+94	▸
13	Georgia Tech	ACC	1854	+22	61%	16-14	−2.3	11-9	1867	−68	▸
14	Kansas	Big 12	1853	+30	63%	24-11	−0.4	13-5	2053	+55	▸
15	SMU	ACC	1850	+26	61%	27-6	+3.9	17-3	2148	+123	▸
16	Purdue	Big Ten	1848	+38	60%	27-7	+1.5	15-5	2134	+67	▸
17	TCU	Big 12	1844	+55	61%	21-11	+0.8	10-8	1900	−9	▸
18	Stanford	ACC	1838	+23	60%	29-5	+0.7	18-2	2227	+39	▸
19	UCLA	Big Ten	1832	+24	60%	19-13	+5.3	12-8	1933	+177	▸
20	Arizona St.	Big 12	1829	+28	62%	28-4	+3.2	17-1	2190	+115	▸
21	Southern California	Big Ten	1829	+30	58%	25-7	+3.7	15-5	2076	+125	▸
22	Baylor	Big 12	1828	+64	59%	18-10	−1.7	12-6	1943	−7	▸
23	Vanderbilt	SEC	1828	+53	61%	9-18	+7.5	5-13	1649	—	▸
24	Utah	Big 12	1828	+73	63%	15-15	−5.0	7-11	1829	−88	▸
25	Ohio St.	Big Ten	1819	+51	59%	6-22	−7.0	3-17	1569	−153	▸
26	LSU	SEC	1818	+18	57%	13-14	+1.8	6-10	1754	+43	▸
27	Creighton	Big East	1813	+31	64%	28-6	−0.2	18-0	2214	+42	▸
28	Kansas St	Big 12	1805	+41	60%	18-10	+6.7	10-8	1911	+237	▸
29	Indiana	Big Ten	1803	+40	61%	25-8	+8.7	14-6	1976	+228	▸
30	Arizona	Big 12	1803	+35	61%	17-13	−0.9	10-8	1878	+25	▸
31	Arkansas	SEC	1793	+75	63%	5-22	−9.5	1-15	1502	−236	▸
32	Ole Miss	SEC	1793	+38	59%	14-15	−1.0	6-12	1768	+9	▸
33	California	ACC	1792	+2	58%	9-21	−3.0	6-14	1588	−70	▸
34	Michigan	Big Ten	1787	+50	56%	22-11	+7.1	11-9	1900	+232	▸
35	South Carolina	SEC	1787	+56	60%	10-16	−3.9	4-12	1675	−79	▸
36	Tennessee	SEC	1787	+27	59%	20-8	+3.4	11-6	1940	+107	▸
37	Auburn	SEC	1783	+8	57%	17-11	+6.4	8-9	1799	+157	▸
38	Florida St.	ACC	1780	+29	58%	16-13	−2.8	10-10	1831	−54	▸
39	Cincinnati	Big 12	1778	+94	59%	15-13	+3.6	7-11	1748	+153	▸
40	Notre Dame	ACC	1775	+33	57%	12-16	+2.4	9-11	1685	+114	▸
41	BYU	Big 12	1773	+28	60%	22-9	+1.8	10-8	1930	+51	▸
42	Miami (FL)	ACC	1773	+26	57%	27-6	+5.1	16-4	2045	+149	▸
43	Oregon	Big Ten	1770	+62	58%	17-13	−6.7	8-12	1875	−155	▸
44	Houston	Big 12	1762	+49	58%	9-20	−5.1	2-16	1563	−133	▸
45	Marquette	Big East	1759	+24	61%	18-11	−3.2	11-6	1904	−79	▸
46	Oklahoma	SEC	1758	+58	56%	16-11	−1.4	8-9	1785	−32	▸
47	Maryland	Big Ten	1757	+30	56%	8-22	−4.5	1-19	1487	−132	▸
48	Colorado	Big 12	1746	+35	58%	23-9	+8.8	12-6	1867	+210	▸
49	Missouri	SEC	1744	+13	57%	17-11	−3.0	8-8	1849	−75	▸
50	Iowa State	Big 12	1741	+43	56%	23-8	+10.4	12-6	1889	+279	▸

Actual end-of-season results. Δ columns compare against the preseason projection (final − preseason). SOS is the average end-of-season Elo of opponents played. Ratings as of Dec 21.