Conference Standings
American Athletic Tournament Projections(2 teams Β· 10k simulations)
| Seed | Team | Elo | Final | π Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tulane University | 1763 | 48% | 30% |
| 2 | U.S. Naval Academy | 1730 | 39% | 23% |
| 3 | University of Memphis | 1688 | 28% | 14% |
| 4 | University of North Texas | 1671 | 24% | 11% |
| 5 | University of South Florida | 1632 | 17% | 7% |
| 6 | U.S. Military Academy | 1623 | 15% | 6% |
| 7 | East Carolina University | 1612 | 14% | 5% |
| 8 | University of Texas at San Antonio | 1596 | 11% | 4% |
| 9 | Rice University | 1442 | 1% | β |
| 10 | University of Alabama at Birmingham | 1396 | 1% | β |
| 11 | Temple University | 1379 | 1% | β |
| 12 | Florida Atlantic University | 1355 | β | β |
| 13 | The University of Tulsa | 1354 | β | β |
| 14 | The University of North Carolina at Charlotte | 1306 | β | β |
Values = P(reach that stage or further). Win = P(win conference tournament = auto NCAA bid). Seeded by Elo.
American Athletic Standings
2 qualify for championship gameThrough 2026-06-02 Β· 54 games remainingSnapshot Week
Standings Β· Finishing Position Probabilities
| # | Team | Conf | Overall | Proj Conf | Proj Ovr | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | U.S. Naval Academy | 0β0 | 0β0 | 14.0β4.0 | 14.0β4.0 | 43 | 23 | 12 | 8.9 | 5.1 | 3.7 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 | <1 | <1 | <1 | |
| 2 | Tulane University | 0β0 | 0β0 | 12.1β3.9 | 12.1β3.9 | 24 | 22 | 17 | 11 | 9.2 | 7.1 | 4.1 | 3.3 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.2 | <1 | <1 |
| 3 | University of North Texas | 0β0 | 0β0 | 11.1β4.9 | 11.1β4.9 | 12 | 14 | 17 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 6.8 | 5.1 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.2 | <1 |
| 4 | University of Memphis | 0β0 | 0β0 | 9.1β4.9 | 9.1β4.9 | 4.6 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 8.3 | 5.3 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | <1 |
| 5 | U.S. Military Academy | 0β0 | 0β0 | 9.9β6.1 | 9.9β6.1 | 6.6 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 6.2 | 3.8 | 2.9 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 6 | East Carolina University | 0β0 | 0β0 | 8.9β5.1 | 8.9β5.1 | 3.1 | 8.6 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 8.9 | 6.7 | 3.5 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 7 | University of Texas at San Antonio | 0β0 | 0β0 | 9.1β6.9 | 9.1β6.9 | 3.9 | 6.2 | 8.8 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 8.1 | 6.6 | 3.8 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| 8 | University of South Florida | 0β0 | 0β0 | 7.8β6.2 | 7.8β6.2 | 1.8 | 5.4 | 7.8 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 6.0 | 4.2 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 9 | Rice University | 0β0 | 0β0 | 6.0β10.0 | 6.0β10.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 3.7 | 4.7 | 8.3 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 9.3 | 6.7 |
| 10 | Temple University | 0β0 | 0β0 | 4.5β9.5 | 4.5β9.5 | <1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 3.5 | 5.4 | 9.3 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 11 | 6.9 |
| 11 | University of Alabama at Birmingham | 0β0 | 0β0 | 4.2β9.8 | 4.2β9.8 | <1 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 3.1 | 4.6 | 8.4 | 12 | 15 | 18 | 16 | 13 | 8.4 |
| 12 | The University of Tulsa | 0β0 | 0β0 | 4.4β11.6 | 4.4β11.6 | <1 | <1 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 2.9 | 5.0 | 9.2 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Florida Atlantic University | 0β0 | 0β0 | 3.7β12.3 | 3.7β12.3 | <1 | <1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 2.4 | 3.4 | 6.5 | 10 | 12 | 17 | 22 | 25 |
| 14 | The University of North Carolina at Charlotte | 0β0 | 0β0 | 3.2β12.8 | 3.2β12.8 | <1 | <1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 4.4 | 7.8 | 11 | 15 | 23 | 35 |
Position columns: % of 10,000 simulated seasons finishing there. Row below cut line = P(reach championship game).
Finishing Position Range β Season Progression
U.S. Naval AcademyTulane UniversityUniversity of North TexasUniversity of MemphisU.S. Military AcademyEast Carolina UniversityUniversity of Texas at San AntonioUniversity of South FloridaRice UniversityTemple UniversityUniversity of Alabama at BirminghamThe University of TulsaFlorida Atlantic UniversityThe University of North Carolina at Charlotte