Conference Standings

ACC Tournament Projections(18 teams · 10k simulations)
SeedTeamEloR1R2QuartersSemisFinal🏆 Win
1Pitt226999%99%99%99%99%66%
2Stanford220299%99%95%84%55%22%
3Louisville214199%98%91%63%30%9%
4Miami (FL)203099%96%79%32%10%2%
5North Carolina192899%89%57%12%3%—
6Georgia Tech185099%83%35%5%1%—
7Florida St.181899%73%21%3%——
8NC State173399%62%9%1%——
9Notre Dame167599%50%4%———
10Clemson167499%50%4%———
11Wake Forest165099%38%2%———
12Virginia164199%27%1%———
13California157799%17%1%———
14Boston College155399%11%————
15Syracuse150099%4%————
16SMU150099%3%————
17Virginia Tech144799%1%————
18Duke137599%1%————

Values = P(reach that stage or further). Win = P(win conference tournament = auto NCAA bid). Seeded by Elo.

ACC Standings
18 qualify for tournamentThrough 2026-06-01 · 87 games remaining

Snapshot Week

Jun 1Jun 8

Standings · Finishing Position Probabilities

#TeamConfOverallProj ConfProj Ovr123456789101112131415161718
1Pitt0–00–0
36.3–3.7
36.3–3.7
990.1
2Florida St.0–00–0
21.7–16.3
21.7–16.3
0.171226.10.50.1<1<1<1<1<1
3NC State0–00–0
18.6–21.4
18.6–21.4
1845322.80.90.40.20.1<1<1<1<1<1
4Wake Forest0–00–0
17.2–22.8
17.2–22.8
1132475.52.01.20.40.30.30.1<1<1<1<1<1
5Miami (FL)0–00–0
10.6–3.4
10.6–3.4
0.68.83721138.05.52.91.50.70.40.20.2<1<1
6Stanford0–00–0
9.2–2.8
9.2–2.8
<12.523221816104.42.41.20.50.2<1<1<1
7Louisville0–00–0
8.0–2.0
8.0–2.0
0.410202521126.92.91.30.70.20.1<1<1
8North Carolina0–00–0
8.5–3.5
8.5–3.5
<11.312181718138.55.72.91.50.90.50.2<1<1
9Georgia Tech0–00–0
6.1–3.9
6.1–3.9
0.11.54.79.4131617138.66.74.32.21.50.90.4
10Duke0–00–0
6.6–33.4
6.6–33.4
<10.11.24.96.05.96.59.38.98.48.66.65.46.66.24.811
11Clemson0–00–0
6.0–8.0
6.0–8.0
0.21.42.74.16.2111112119.08.08.65.54.64.3
12Notre Dame0–00–0
4.4–5.6
4.4–5.6
<10.20.82.53.96.711131414107.86.95.12.8
13Virginia0–00–0
4.3–7.7
4.3–7.7
<10.30.51.12.44.26.79.31011131110128.2
14California0–00–0
3.4–6.6
3.4–6.6
<10.30.81.63.55.88.21112121213119.3
15Syracuse0–00–0
3.9–8.1
3.9–8.1
<10.10.30.81.62.85.67.88.6101312101413
16Boston College0–00–0
2.9–7.1
2.9–7.1
<10.20.40.82.34.15.58.4111113161413
17Virginia Tech0–00–0
3.9–10.1
3.9–10.1
<1<10.30.61.22.74.26.77.67.91013121519
18SMU0–00–0
2.3–7.7
2.3–7.7
<1<10.20.61.53.05.78.01013191919

Position columns: % of 10,000 simulated seasons finishing there. Row below cut line = P(reach tournament).

Finishing Position Range — Season Progression

PittFlorida St.NC StateWake ForestMiami (FL)StanfordLouisvilleNorth CarolinaGeorgia TechDukeClemsonNotre DameVirginiaCaliforniaSyracuseBoston CollegeVirginia TechSMU
123456789101112131415161718Jun 1Jun 8Position